Buffer Depletion

Financial Obligations Ratio

Household financial obligations as share of income

What is the current Financial Obligations Ratio?

FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS RATIO
14.2%
of disposable income goes to financial obligations
One year ago
14.35% ↓ Improving
down 0.2 points since Q3 2022

The household financial obligations ratio measures total required monthly payments — debt service plus rent, auto leases, homeowner insurance, and property taxes — as a share of disposable income. This broader measure captures financial commitments that the standard debt service ratio misses. Source: Federal Reserve via FRED.

Financial obligations take 14.2 cents of every dollar of disposable income. Below the pre-Great-Recession peak of 18.2%, but climbing since 2021.

The Federal Reserve's Financial Obligations Ratio, FRED series FODSP, measures the share of household disposable income going to financial obligations — debt service plus rent, auto leases, homeowner insurance, and property taxes. It is a broader measure than debt service alone. The Q3 2023 reading is 14.2%.

That is below the 18.2% peak reached in late 2007, at the top of the housing bubble. And it is the usual comfort point cited in macro commentary — obligations are manageable by the historical standard, no cause for alarm.

The comfort point misreads the composition. In 2007 the pressure came from a wave of adjustable-rate mortgages resetting. Mortgage debt service drove the ratio. Today, with most mortgage holders locked into sub-4% rates from 2020-2021, the mortgage component is unusually low. The 14.2% reading is being produced by rising rent, auto insurance, and property taxes, not by the mortgage line.

That is a different kind of pressure. A mortgage reset is a shock that resolves when rates fall. A rent increase is permanent. The Squeeze shows 24% of households spending 95% or more of their income on necessities. Financial obligations at 14.2% sit inside that total. There is no room left for a new shock, even though the ratio itself doesn't look dramatic — and the Buffer Depletion cohort of indicators keeps showing it. Buffer Depletion has historically led Debt Stress by 9 quarters in the American Distress Index.

Source: Federal Reserve via FRED · Latest: 2023-Q3

Explore Further

How has Financial Obligations Ratio changed over time?

CSV Chart Card
Financial obligations remain below the pre-GFC peak
Household financial obligations as percentage of disposable income
Financial Obligations Ratio
Historical data
Quarterly · Federal Reserve via FRED
Period Value YoY Change
Q3 2023 14.2% −0.2 pts
Q2 2023 14.11% −0.2 pts
Q1 2023 14.12% −0.2 pts
Q4 2022 14.4% +0.4 pts
Q3 2022 14.35% +0.5 pts
Q2 2022 14.35% +0.8 pts
Q1 2022 14.31% +1.9 pts
Q4 2021 14.01% +0.1 pts
Q3 2021 13.86% +0.2 pts
Q2 2021 13.59% +0.3 pts
Q1 2021 12.43% −2.2 pts
Q4 2020 13.96% −0.7 pts

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the financial obligations ratio?

The financial obligations ratio measures total required household payments — including debt service, rent, auto leases, homeowner insurance, and property taxes — as a share of disposable personal income. It is a broader measure than the household debt service ratio, which only counts debt payments.

How does this differ from the debt service ratio?

The debt service ratio counts only debt payments (mortgage, credit card, auto loan, student loan). The financial obligations ratio adds rent payments, auto lease payments, homeowner insurance, and property taxes. This gives a more complete picture of fixed monthly costs that households cannot easily reduce.

Where does the financial obligations data come from?

The Federal Reserve publishes the financial obligations ratio quarterly, based on estimates of total required household payments divided by disposable personal income. It is available on FRED alongside the standard debt service ratio.

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Why does Financial Obligations Ratio matter?

Financial Obligations Ratio is one of 91 indicators in the American Distress Index's buffer depletion layer — the signal that predicted the 2008 crisis two years before delinquency data confirmed it.
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