AI Workforce

The Tech Drought

76.0k tech sector job openings — tech hiring has not recovered

What is the current The Tech Drought?

INFORMATION-SECTOR JOB OPENINGS
76K ↓ Worsening
thousand job openings in the information sector
One year ago
109K ↓ Worsening
down 33K since May 2025

Information-sector job openings are the Bureau of Labor Statistics JOLTS estimate for NAICS 51. The series describes monthly vacancy demand in publishing, telecommunications, data processing, and related information industries; it does not cover every technology occupation or establish that changes in this sector predict the broader labor market. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, JOLTS.

Information-sector job openings were 76k in May 2026 — 63% below the 203,000 reading recorded in September 2025.

The BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey tracks unfilled positions by industry. For the information sector — NAICS 51, which includes software publishing, data processing, and most of what the press calls tech — openings stood at 203,000 in September 2025. By December, that figure was 101,000. The one-quarter drop was severe.

Tech hiring is one part of the labor market, not a validated leading relationship on this page. Read this series alongside Continued Unemployment Claims and the JOLTS Quits Rate for broader context; their movements do not establish that the tech series caused or predicted them.

The current pullback carries a wrinkle the 2022 reset didn't. That episode was mostly a correction from pandemic over-hiring. The 2025-2026 pullback is coinciding with a step-change in AI capability — The Horizon has moved from tens of hours to hundreds in twelve months — and with the first measurable wave of AI-attributed layoff announcements in The AI Cut. How much of the tech drought is cyclical and how much is structural is the open question.

For households whose income depends on tech-sector work, the distinction matters. Cyclical downturns reverse; structural ones don't. The downstream indicator to watch is Youth Unemployment, where early-career workers — the group most exposed to entry-level automation — are already running well above the rate of workers over 35.

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, JOLTS via BLS (JTS510000000000000JOL) · Latest: 2026-05

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Have you noticed tech job postings drying up in your area?

How has The Tech Drought changed over time?

CSV Chart Card
Tech-sector hiring has pulled back sharply since 2025
Information-sector job openings (NAICS 51), JOLTS, thousands
The Tech Drought
Historical data
Monthly · Bureau of Labor Statistics, JOLTS (JTS510000000000000JOL)
Period Value YoY Change
May 2026 76K −33K
Apr 2026 82K −52K
Mar 2026 83K −32K
Feb 2026 80K −45K
Jan 2026 100K −1K
Dec 2025 112K +7K
Nov 2025 88K −31K
Oct 2025 117K −61K
Sep 2025 119K +5K
Aug 2025 141K +36K
Jul 2025 157K +52K
Jun 2025 123K +15K

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the tech job-openings indicator measure?

It reports the Bureau of Labor Statistics JOLTS estimate of open positions in the information sector, NAICS 51. That industry classification includes publishing, telecommunications, data processing, and related activities, but it is not a count of every technology job opening in the economy.

Does this series measure the effect of AI on hiring?

No. JOLTS measures job openings by industry and does not attribute changes to artificial intelligence, automation, or any other single cause. Read it as a measure of information-sector vacancy demand, not as a causal estimate of AI displacement.

Where does tech job opening data come from?

The data comes from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, using the information-sector series for NAICS 51.

Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Twice named to Puget Sound Business Journal Fast 50 for Ark Law Group. B.A., University of California, Berkeley, 1992. Founded American Default Research in 2026 to fill a gap in public data that had been empty since 2013.

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Why does The Tech Drought matter?

The Tech Drought is one of 98 live indicators tracked by American Default Research. The methodology page explains sources, update cadence, and how the index uses its published inputs.
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