The Grocery Gap

The Grocery Gap has fallen down 1.1 points since Feb 2025 year-over-year The Grocery Gap has fallen down 1.1 points since Feb 2025 over the past year, adding to a pattern of household financial strain. This indicator is part of the ADI's Upstream Pressure component. The composite index reads 59.0 (Elevated). Source: Computed (BLS Average Hourly Earnings YoY - Food-at-Home CPI YoY) Data: https://americandefault.org/indicators/the-grocery-gap/ CSV: https://americandefault.org/api/downloads/the-grocery-gap.csv Embed: https://americandefault.org/embed/the-grocery-gap/ Citation (APA): American Default Project. (2026). The Grocery Gap [Data set]. American Default. https://americandefault.org/indicators/the-grocery-gap/ Contact: press@americandefault.org

31 of 90 household distress indicators are worsening — The Grocery Gap is one of them The American Distress Index reads 59.0 (Elevated), a composite of five statistically derived components tracking U.S. household financial distress. The Grocery Gap, part of the Upstream Pressure component, currently reads 0.51 pts. Grocery wage cushion narrowed to +0.48pp — down from +1.5pp a year ago as food prices re-accelerate Source: Computed (BLS Average Hourly Earnings YoY - Food-at-Home CPI YoY) Data: https://americandefault.org/indicators/the-grocery-gap/ CSV: https://americandefault.org/api/downloads/the-grocery-gap.csv Embed: https://americandefault.org/embed/the-grocery-gap/ Citation (APA): American Default Project. (2026). The Grocery Gap [Data set]. American Default. https://americandefault.org/indicators/the-grocery-gap/ Contact: press@americandefault.org

"The Grocery Gap." American Default Project, 2026, https://americandefault.org/indicators/the-grocery-gap/. Accessed March 23, 2026.

"The Grocery Gap." American Default Project, 2026, https://americandefault.org/indicators/the-grocery-gap/. Accessed March 23, 2026.

American Default Project. "The Grocery Gap." American Default, 2026. https://americandefault.org/indicators/the-grocery-gap/.

American Default Project. "The Grocery Gap." American Default, 2026. https://americandefault.org/indicators/the-grocery-gap/.

@misc{adi_the_grocery_gap,
  title = {The Grocery Gap},
  author = {{American Default Project}},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://americandefault.org/indicators/the-grocery-gap/},
  note = {Data sourced from Computed (BLS Average Hourly Earnings YoY - Food-at-Home CPI YoY)}
}

@misc{adi_the_grocery_gap, title = {The Grocery Gap}, author = {{American Default Project}}, year = {2026}, url = {https://americandefault.org/indicators/the-grocery-gap/}, note = {Data sourced from Computed (BLS Average Hourly Earnings YoY - Food-at-Home CPI YoY)} }