Upstream Pressure

The Coverage Tax

Motor vehicle insurance inflation outpaces CPI — a gap that persisted through...

What is the current The Coverage Tax?

AUTO INSURANCE INFLATION PREMIUM (AUTO CPI MI
3.22 pts ↑ Worsening
Car insurance premiums still rising 2.7pp faster than overal
One year ago
2.97 pts ↑ Worsening
up 0.3 points since Feb 2025

Health insurance costs are rising 3.22 percentage points faster than core CPI in the latest reading. The Coverage Tax measures this gap — how much faster insurance premiums are climbing compared to general prices. This sustained premium means insurance is steadily consuming more of household budgets, particularly for those on employer plans with rising deductibles and copays. Source: BLS.

Car insurance premiums still rising 2.7pp faster than overall inflation

Motor vehicle insurance inflation outpaces CPI — a gap that persisted through 2023–2025.

Explore Further

Is this happening to you?

Has your auto insurance premium jumped even though your driving record hasn't changed?

How has The Coverage Tax changed over time?

CSV Chart Card
The Coverage Tax over time
The Coverage Tax, percentage_points
The Coverage Tax
Historical data
Monthly · Computed (Motor Vehicle Insurance CPI - CPI All Items YoY)
Period Value YoY Change
Feb 2026 3.22 pts +0.3 pts
Jan 2026 2.65 pts −0.3 pts
Dec 2025 2.6 pts −0.7 pts
Nov 2025 4.16 pts +1.2 pts
Sep 2025 4.65 pts +2.2 pts
Aug 2025 5.56 pts +4.1 pts
Jul 2025 3.8 pts +2.1 pts
Jun 2025 2.47 pts −0.6 pts
May 2025 2.75 pts −1.2 pts
Apr 2025 3.23 pts −1.0 pts
Mar 2025 2.45 pts −2.3 pts
Feb 2025 2.97 pts −0.6 pts

Frequently Asked Questions

What is The Coverage Tax?

The Coverage Tax measures how much faster health insurance costs rise compared to core CPI. At 3.22 percentage points, insurance premiums are significantly outpacing general inflation.

Why does this matter?

Rising insurance costs reduce take-home pay and increase out-of-pocket medical expenses, contributing to the cost pressure the American Distress Index tracks.

Where does this data come from?

Derived from BLS health insurance CPI data compared to core CPI.

Quick poll

Is this affecting you or your household?

Anonymous · one vote per indicator

Create a free account to save indicators to your watchlist and get weekly updates.

Create Free Account →

Discussion

Loading comments…

Free Resource
Know Your Rights
Foreclosure timelines, bankruptcy protections, and debt collector rules — state-by-state legal guides written in plain English.
Browse state guides →
Free Counseling
Talk to a HUD Counselor
HUD-approved housing counselors provide free, confidential help with mortgage problems, foreclosure prevention, and credit counseling.
Find a counselor →

Why does The Coverage Tax matter?

The Coverage Tax is one of 91 indicators in the American Distress Index's upstream pressure layer — the signal that predicted the 2008 crisis two years before delinquency data confirmed it.
View methodology →
🛟
If you're struggling with debt or facing foreclosure, free help is available. Find help near you · Browse the Glossary · The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development provides HUD-approved housing counselors at no cost. You can also call 1-800-569-4287.