Upstream Pressure
Lagging Indicator

Motor Vehicle Insurance CPI

Year-over-year change in auto insurance premiums

Historically follows CPI Inflation Rate (All Items) by 3 quarters — no active signal. CPI Inflation Rate (All Items) · View projections

What is the current Motor Vehicle Insurance CPI?

AUTO INSURANCE INFLATION
6.94% ↑ Worsening
year-over-year increase in auto insurance costs
One year ago
4.83% ↑ Worsening
up 2.1 points since Mar 2025

Motor vehicle insurance prices rose 5.9% year-over-year as of February 2026, according to BLS CPI data (series CUSR0000SETD). While down from the June 2023 peak of 19.8% YoY, auto insurance inflation continues to outpace headline CPI by a wide margin. The cumulative effect means auto insurance premiums are roughly 50% higher than in 2020. This persistent cost pressure disproportionately affects lower-income households, where auto insurance represents a larger share of disposable income. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics (CUSR0000SETD).

Auto insurance inflation is running at 6.9 percent year-over-year. Still nearly double the overall CPI rate and more than triple the pre-pandemic norm.

Before the pandemic, auto insurance inflation typically ran between 1 and 3 percent a year. Predictable. Slow. A routine feature of driving in America.

BLS data shows it at 6.9 percent in March 2026. That is down from the 14.2 percent peak in early 2023, the fastest pace recorded in the post-1980 series, but still running at roughly three times the pre-pandemic norm. Cumulative auto insurance prices are up more than 50 percent from 2020 levels.

The drivers are structural. Vehicles are more expensive to repair because they contain more sensors and electronics. Medical costs for injury claims continue climbing. Litigation and claim severity are both elevated. None of these reverse easily. The rate has cooled from its shock level, but the underlying cost base has not.

For households, insurance is required to drive legally. That makes it one of the hardest line items to trim when budgets tighten. The Repo Line shows auto loan serious delinquency continuing to climb. Households are keeping the car running, borrowing against the wire, and then losing it. The insurance surcharge is part of what pushes them there.

Source: BLS · Latest: 2026-03

Explore Further

How has Motor Vehicle Insurance CPI changed over time?

CSV Chart Card
Auto insurance remains one of the fastest-rising costs
Motor vehicle insurance CPI, year-over-year percentage change
Motor Vehicle Insurance CPI
Historical data
Monthly · BLS
Period Value YoY Change
Mar 2026 6.94% +2.1 pts
Feb 2026 5.89% +0.1 pts
Jan 2026 5.48% −0.4 pts
Dec 2025 5.6% −0.6 pts
Nov 2025 7.15% +1.4 pts
Sep 2025 7.68% +2.8 pts
Aug 2025 8.5% +4.4 pts
Jul 2025 6.54% +1.9 pts
Jun 2025 5.15% −0.9 pts
May 2025 5.12% −2.1 pts
Apr 2025 5.56% −2.0 pts
Mar 2025 4.83% −3.4 pts

Frequently Asked Questions

How much has auto insurance gone up?

Motor vehicle insurance prices rose 5.9% year-over-year as of February 2026 (BLS series CUSR0000SETD). From the June 2023 peak of 19.8% YoY, the rate has declined but remains well above the long-run average of roughly 3-4% annual growth. Cumulatively, auto insurance premiums are approximately 50% higher than early 2020.

Why is auto insurance so expensive?

Three factors drive elevated auto insurance costs: higher vehicle repair costs (parts inflation + labor shortages), increased claim severity (more expensive vehicles, advanced sensors), and higher reinsurance costs passed down from catastrophe losses. Unlike gas prices, insurance costs are sticky — once premiums rise, they rarely decline.

How does auto insurance inflation connect to the American Distress Index?

Auto insurance CPI is tracked as a context indicator for the ADI's Cost Pressure dimension. While not directly in the composite, it illustrates the gap between headline CPI and the costs households actually face — a dynamic the ADI captures through its healthcare and shelter inflation spreads.

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Why does Motor Vehicle Insurance CPI matter?

Motor Vehicle Insurance CPI is one of 91 indicators in the American Distress Index's upstream pressure layer — the signal that predicted the 2008 crisis two years before delinquency data confirmed it.
View methodology →
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