Upstream Pressure
Leading Indicator

Energy CPI (All Items)

Tracking improving relative to recent baseline.

Validated leading indicator for Lower-Income Wage Growth vs. Inflation Gap (1q lag) — currently dormant. Lower-Income Wage Growth vs. Inflation Gap · View projections

What is the current Energy CPI (All Items)?

ENERGY CPI (ALL ITEMS)
0.34% ↓ Improving
Energy CPI (All Items) at 0.6%

The energy Consumer Price Index rose just 0.34% year-over-year in the latest reading, reflecting stabilization in fuel and utility costs after the 2022 spike. However, energy costs remain volatile and disproportionately impact lower-income households who spend a larger share of income on utilities and transportation fuel. Source: BLS (CUSR0000SA0E).

Energy CPI (All Items) at 0.6%

Tracking improving relative to recent baseline.

Source: BLS via official source ↗

Explore Further

How has Energy CPI (All Items) changed over time?

CSV Chart Card
Energy CPI (All Items) over time
Energy CPI (All Items), percent
Energy CPI (All Items)
Historical data
Monthly · BLS
Period Value YoY Change
Feb 2026 0.34% +0.8 pts
Jan 2026 0.57% −0.3 pts
Dec 2025 4.52% +4.8 pts
Nov 2025 4.27% +7.4 pts
Sep 2025 2.94% +9.8 pts
Aug 2025 0.37% +4.4 pts
Jul 2025 -1.24% −2.2 pts
Jun 2025 -0.62% −1.6 pts
May 2025 -3.09% −6.7 pts
Apr 2025 -3.57% −6.0 pts
Mar 2025 -3.39% −5.4 pts
Feb 2025 -0.44% +1.4 pts

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current energy inflation rate?

Energy CPI rose 0.34% year-over-year in the latest BLS report, well below the peak of 41.6% reached in June 2022.

Why does energy cost matter for distress?

Energy is non-discretionary — households must heat their homes and fuel their commutes. Energy price spikes force immediate trade-offs with other spending categories.

Where does energy CPI data come from?

Published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, series CUSR0000SA0E.

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Why does Energy CPI (All Items) matter?

Energy CPI (All Items) is one of 91 indicators in the American Distress Index's upstream pressure layer — the signal that predicted the 2008 crisis two years before delinquency data confirmed it.
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