What Is the Current Credit Card Default Rate?

The credit card delinquency rate across all U.S. commercial banks stood at 2.9% in 2025-Q4, down from a cycle high of 3.01% in Q2 2024. That aggregate, however, masks a sharp divide by lender size: banks outside the top 100 report a 6.6% delinquency rate, roughly 2.3x the implied rate at the largest institutions.

The charge-off rate — debt the banking system has written off as unrecoverable — was 4.1% in the same quarter. Charge-offs peaked at 10.5% during the 2008–2010 financial crisis, and the current reading remains well below that level. But context matters: total revolving credit has surged past $1,277B as part of a broader expansion in consumer debt, so a lower rate applied to a far larger base produces more absolute dollars of written-off debt than the headline number suggests.

Key Statistics at a Glance

2.9% Credit card delinquency rate (all banks) 2025-Q4
6.6% Small-bank delinquency rate (outside top 100) 2025-Q4
4.1% Charge-off rate (debt written off) 2025-Q4
$1,277B Total credit card balances outstanding 2025-Q4
21.0% Average credit card APR (record high) 2025-Q4
2.3x Small-bank to big-bank delinquency multiplier 2025-Q4

The American Distress Index currently reads 59.0 (Elevated). Credit card delinquency feeds the ADI's Debt Stress component, which carries a 25% weight in the composite. The split between big-bank and small-bank delinquency rates is a textbook example of the K-shaped distress pattern the ADI was designed to surface: aggregate statistics that look manageable obscure concentrated stress among the borrowers with the thinnest financial buffers.

The Big-Bank / Small-Bank Divide

Federal Reserve data splits credit card delinquency by lender size, and the gap tells a different story than the aggregate. The top 100 banks by asset size — Chase, Citi, Capital One, and their peers — report an implied delinquency rate near 2.8%. Banks outside the top 100 report 6.6%.

This 2.3x spread exists because the two groups serve fundamentally different borrower populations. Major issuers aggressively screen applicants using proprietary underwriting models, offer balance-transfer promotions that keep delinquent accounts from aging, and securitize distressed portfolios off their books. Smaller banks retain more risk, serve more subprime and near-prime borrowers, and lack the scale to cycle delinquent accounts out of their reported numbers. Meanwhile, rising costs of essentials like groceries, auto insurance, and healthcare have compressed these borrowers' repayment capacity further.

Metric Top 100 Banks Banks Outside Top 100
Current delinquency rate ~2.8% 6.6%
Borrower profile Prime and super-prime; heavily screened Near-prime and subprime; thinner files
Portfolio management Securitization, balance transfers, rapid charge-off Held on balance sheet; longer workout cycles
Delinquency-to-multiplier 1.0x (baseline) 2.3x
Distress signal Lagging — last to deteriorate Leading — first to show stress

Small-Bank vs. All-Bank Credit Card Delinquency Rate

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED (DRCCLOBS, DRCCLACBS).

Charge-Off Rate: Debt Written Off as Unrecoverable

The charge-off rate measures the percentage of credit card loan balances that banks remove from their books as losses, typically after 180 days of non-payment. At 4.1% in 2025-Q4, the rate has begun to ease from a cycle peak of 4.54% in Q2 2024.

For perspective, charge-offs peaked at 10.5% during the GFC (2009) — more than double today's reading. But the dollar magnitude is different: with $1,277B in outstanding balances versus roughly $870B during the GFC peak, a 4.1% charge-off rate today represents roughly $52B in annualized written-off debt.

Charge-offs also create a statistical illusion. When a lender charges off a delinquent account, that account exits the delinquency denominator. Accelerating charge-offs can therefore cause the delinquency rate to fall even as underlying borrower distress remains constant or worsens. This is why the ADI tracks both metrics together.

Credit Card Charge-Off Rate (All Commercial Banks)

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED (CORCCACBS).

Record Balances, Record Interest Rates

Total credit card balances reached $1,277B in 2025-Q4, up from $881B at the end of 2019 — a 45% increase in five years. That growth has occurred alongside a sustained rise in the average interest rate, which stands at a record 21.0%, up from roughly 15% at the start of the Fed's tightening cycle. The combination is one reason 401(k) hardship withdrawals have tripled since 2019 — households are depleting retirement savings to service current debt.

The combination is arithmetically punishing. A borrower carrying the median revolving balance of approximately $6,500 at 21.0% APR faces roughly $1,360 in annual interest charges — more than $113 per month before any principal reduction. Minimum payments at this rate barely service the interest, extending payoff timelines and increasing total cost.

Total U.S. Credit Card Balances (Billions USD)

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Household Debt and Credit Report.

Credit Card Delinquency Since 2000

The all-bank delinquency rate hit 6.8% during the 2008–2010 crisis — roughly double today's reading. The post-GFC era brought a sustained decline as banks tightened underwriting and wrote off distressed portfolios. The rate bottomed at 1.55% in Q1 2022 before the current tightening cycle pushed it back above 2.9%.

The current level is elevated relative to 2015–2019 norms (2.4–2.6%) but far below crisis territory. The more revealing metric is the pace of increase from the 2022 trough to the 2024 peak — a near-doubling in eight quarters that tracked closely with the Fed's rate hikes and the erosion of pandemic-era savings buffers. Credit card delinquency is just one lane of the broader default rate picture, where FHA mortgages and auto loans are showing even sharper deterioration.

Credit Card Delinquency Rate (All Commercial Banks, 2000–Present)

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System via FRED (DRCCLACBS).

Credit Card Delinquency by State

The NY Fed Consumer Credit Panel tracks credit card transition rates at the state level. The national rate of 12.4% masks a wide spread: from 8.0% in Wisconsin to 16.3% in Nevada. Southern and Gulf Coast states dominate the high end, reflecting lower median incomes and larger subprime populations. For borrowers already in collections, see your rights under the FDCPA. If credit card debt is pushing you toward falling behind on your mortgage, a HUD-approved counselor can help you prioritize.

Rank State CC Delinquency 2025 CC Delinquency 2019 Change
1 Nevada 16.3% 11.5% +4.8 pp
2 Florida 14.9% 10.5% +4.4 pp
3 Louisiana 14.2% 8.6% +5.6 pp
4 Texas 14.2% 9.2% +5.0 pp
5 Georgia 13.9% 8.3% +5.6 pp
6 Arkansas 13.8% 9.7% +4.1 pp
7 West Virginia 13.7% 8.1% +5.6 pp
8 Arizona 13.7% 10.4% +3.3 pp
9 Mississippi 13.4% 9.5% +3.9 pp
10 South Carolina 13.4% 8.2% +5.2 pp
National 12.4% 8.1% +4.2 pp

The Charge-Off Paradox

Falling delinquency rates do not always mean improving borrower health. When banks accelerate charge-offs — writing off bad debt faster — delinquent accounts exit the denominator, mechanically lowering the delinquency rate. The true signal emerges from tracking delinquency and charge-offs together: if charge-offs rise while delinquency falls, the banking system is cleaning its books, not watching borrowers recover.

This pattern played out in late 2024 and early 2025. Delinquency fell from 3.01% to 2.9% while charge-offs remained elevated near 4.1%. The ADI's composite approach captures this dynamic by weighting multiple debt distress signals together rather than relying on any single metric.

Read more: "The Two-Economy Problem: Why the Headlines Don't Match Your Bank Account" →

Data Sources and Methodology

Federal Reserve / FRED

Delinquency and charge-off rates from the Board of Governors' quarterly survey of commercial bank call reports. Series DRCCLACBS (all-bank delinquency), DRCCLOBS (banks outside top 100), CORCCACBS (charge-offs), and TERMCBCCALLNS (credit card interest rates). Quarterly frequency.

NY Fed Household Debt and Credit Report

Total credit card balances and state-level delinquency transition rates from a nationally representative 5% sample of Equifax consumer credit records. Published quarterly with a one-quarter lag. State-level data includes credit card, auto, mortgage, and student loan metrics.

American Distress Index

The ADI's Debt Stress component (25% of composite) incorporates credit card delinquency alongside mortgage delinquency. The index uses Z-score normalization against a 2015–2024 baseline with 95th-percentile COVID winsorization. Current ADI: 59.0 (Elevated). Servicer practices affect delinquency outcomes — see CFPB complaint records for PNC Bank, M&T Bank, and 74 other mortgage servicers.

Create a free account to save indicators to your watchlist and get weekly updates.

Create Free Account →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current credit card default rate?

The credit card delinquency rate across all commercial banks was 2.9% in 2025-Q4, according to Federal Reserve data (FRED series DRCCLACBS). This measures loans 30+ days past due as a share of all credit card loans outstanding. The charge-off rate — debt written off as uncollectible — was 4.1% in the same period.

What is the difference between delinquency and charge-off?

Delinquency means a borrower has missed at least one payment (30+ days past due). A charge-off occurs when the lender writes off the debt as uncollectible, typically after 180 days of non-payment. Delinquency is a leading indicator — it rises first. Charge-offs follow with a lag of 1-2 quarters as delinquent accounts progress through the collection cycle.

Why is the small-bank credit card delinquency rate so much higher?

Banks outside the top 100 by asset size report a 6.6% delinquency rate — 2.3x the implied big-bank rate of about 2.8%. Smaller banks serve a higher proportion of subprime and near-prime borrowers. They also have less capacity to absorb losses through securitization and sale of delinquent portfolios, so distressed accounts stay on their books longer.

Are credit card delinquencies rising or falling?

The all-bank delinquency rate peaked at 3.01% in Q2 2024 and has since declined to 2.9% as of 2025-Q4. However, total credit card balances continue to rise — reaching $1,277B — and the average APR remains at a record 21.0%. Falling delinquency rates can coexist with rising distress when lenders accelerate charge-offs, removing the worst accounts from the delinquency denominator.

Which states have the highest credit card delinquency rates?

Nevada leads at 16.3%, followed by Florida (14.9%) and Louisiana (14.2%). The national average is 12.4%. Southern and Gulf Coast states dominate the top 10, reflecting lower median incomes, higher cost-of-living growth, and larger subprime borrower populations. Full state-by-state data is available in our consumer debt by state roundup.

🛟
If you're struggling with debt or facing foreclosure, free help is available. Find help near you · Browse the Glossary · The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development provides HUD-approved housing counselors at no cost. You can also call 1-800-569-4287.