Buffer Depletion

The Squeeze

24.0% — up from 23.7% a year ago, almost nothing left after necessities

What is the current The Squeeze?

INCOME CONSUMED BY NECESSITIES
24% ↑ Worsening
of households spend 95%+ on necessities
One year ago
23.7% ↑ Worsening
up 0.3 points since 2024

24% of U.S. households now spend 95% or more of their income on necessities, according to Bank of America Institute analysis of internal depositor data — up from 23% in 2023. Among lower-income households, the figure is 29%, the highest in the series. These are families with no discretionary spending left to cut and no margin for any unexpected expense. Source: Bank of America Institute (2025).

The gap between what families earn and what they must spend has narrowed to almost nothing for a growing share of households.

Bank of America Institute analysis of internal depositor data shows that 24% of U.S. households now spend 95% or more of their income on necessities — up from 23% in 2023. Among lower-income households, the figure is 29%, the highest in the series. These are not families making choices about discretionary spending. They are families with no discretionary spending left to cut.

The driver is visible in The K-Shape: lower-income wages are growing at just 1% year-over-year while inflation runs at 3%, creating a negative 2 percentage point real wage gap. Higher-income households, by contrast, are seeing 4% wage growth — comfortably ahead of prices. The K-shaped recovery has become a permanent feature of the economy, not a temporary post-pandemic artifact.

When nearly every dollar is spoken for, any unexpected expense becomes a crisis. The Buffer shows the personal savings rate at 3.6%, half the pre-pandemic average, and The $400 Test confirms that 37% of Americans still can't cover even a minor emergency with cash. These are not three separate problems — they're three views of the same squeeze.

Source: Bank of America Institute · Latest: 2025

Explore Further

Is this happening to you?

Do you run out of money before your next paycheck arrives?

How has The Squeeze changed over time?

CSV Chart Card
The Squeeze over time
Share of households spending 95%+ of income on necessities
The Squeeze
Historical data
Annual · Bank of America Institute
Period Value YoY Change
2025 24% +0.3 pts
2024 23.7% +0.7 pts
2023 23%

Frequently Asked Questions

What share of Americans spend nearly all their income on necessities?

24% of U.S. households spend 95% or more of their income on necessities, according to Bank of America Institute data. Among lower-income households, the figure is 29%. These households have virtually no discretionary spending or savings capacity remaining.

Is the income-to-necessity ratio getting worse?

Yes. The share of households spending 95%+ on necessities rose from 23% in 2023 to 24% in 2025. Among lower-income households specifically, the figure climbed from 27.1% to 29%. The trend is driven by essential costs (groceries, housing, insurance) rising faster than wages for lower-income workers.

Why do households have no margin even when employment is high?

The pressure is coming from the cost side, not employment. Lower-income wage growth is approximately 1% while inflation runs at approximately 3%, creating a negative real wage gap. Higher-income households see 4% wage growth — comfortably ahead of prices — creating a K-shaped divergence where employment statistics mask deepening distress at the bottom.

How does this connect to savings and debt indicators?

When nearly every dollar is consumed by necessities, there is nothing left to save or to use for debt repayment. This directly explains why the personal savings rate has fallen to 3.6%, why 37% of adults can't cover a $400 emergency, and why 4.8% of 401(k) participants are taking hardship withdrawals. These are not separate problems — they are three views of the same squeeze.

Where does the income-to-necessity spending data come from?

Bank of America Institute analyzes aggregated and anonymized internal depositor transaction data to measure household spending patterns. This proprietary dataset provides near-real-time insights into consumer financial behavior at scale, making it one of the few sources that can track spending-to-income ratios across income levels.

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Why does The Squeeze matter?

The Squeeze is one of 91 indicators in the American Distress Index's buffer depletion layer — the signal that predicted the 2008 crisis two years before delinquency data confirmed it.
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