Demographics

The Spread

36 — up from 29 a year ago, credit card trouble spreading geographically

What is the current The Spread?

STATES WITH CREDIT CARD DELINQUENCY ABOVE 10%
36 ↑ Worsening
The Spread rising to 36

The number of U.S. states where credit card delinquency exceeds 10% is a geographic concentration measure of household debt distress. When delinquency crosses 10% at the state level, it indicates that debt problems have spread beyond individual borrowers to affect the broader regional economy. Source: NY Fed Consumer Credit Panel.

The Spread rising to 36

Tracking worsening relative to recent baseline.

Explore Further

How has The Spread changed over time?

CSV Chart Card
The Spread over time
The Spread, count
The Spread
Historical data
Annual · NY Fed Consumer Credit Panel / Equifax
Period Value YoY Change
2025 36 +7.00
2024 29 +16.00
2023 13 +12.00
2022 1 −2.00
2021 3 −5.00
2020 8 +5.00
2019 3 +2.00
2018 1 +0.00
2017 1 +0.00
2016 1 −2.00
2015 3 +0.00
2014 3 −6.00

Frequently Asked Questions

How many states have credit card delinquency above 10%?

The count of states exceeding the 10% credit card delinquency threshold is tracked quarterly using New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel data. A rising count indicates that debt distress is spreading geographically rather than being concentrated in a few regions.

Why does geographic spread matter?

Concentrated distress can be managed — states and institutions can absorb localized problems. When delinquency rises above 10% in multiple states simultaneously, it indicates systemic rather than regional stress, reducing the capacity of any single policy response to address the problem.

Where does the state-level delinquency data come from?

The New York Fed's Consumer Credit Panel provides quarterly credit performance data at the state level, drawn from a nationally representative sample of Equifax credit reports.

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Why does The Spread matter?

The Spread is one of 91 indicators in the American Distress Index's demographics layer — the signal that predicted the 2008 crisis two years before delinquency data confirmed it.
View methodology →
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