What Do the Shelter and Energy Measures Show?

Shelter CPI reads 3.2% year-over-year as of 2026-07, down from the stored-series peak of 8.2% in 2023 03. It includes rent of primary residence and owners' equivalent rent. The accepted source stores year-over-year rates, so this page does not derive a cumulative increase from those rates or treat them as an individual lease payment.

Separately, aggregate energy personal consumption expenditures equal 3.7% of aggregate disposable personal income in 2026-Q2. That economy-wide numerator and denominator do not measure a renter's utility bill and cannot be added to the ACS renter cost-burden share. For mortgage-side metrics including new-house sales prices, FHA delinquency, and HELOC balances, see the housing affordability page. American Default treats the measures here as context alongside the American Distress Index, not as one household sequence.

Key Statistics at a Glance

3.2% Shelter CPI (YoY) 2026-07
3.7% Aggregate energy PCE / aggregate disposable personal income 2026-Q2
14.4% Energy CPI (YoY) 2026-07

Shelter CPI and the aggregate energy-expenditure ratio are context rather than direct ADI inputs. They do not identify the same households as saving, delinquency, hardship, or default measures and do not establish a fixed order among them. The American Distress Index currently reads 43.8 (Typical). On average, its inputs sit higher than in 44% of their own quarterly histories. The cost-of-living statistics page compares additional national price categories.

How Fast Is Rent Rising According to CPI?

The BLS Shelter CPI (seasonally adjusted series CUSR0000SAH1) measures year-over-year price change for rent of primary residence and owners' equivalent rent. As of 2026-07, shelter inflation reads 3.2% year-over-year.

The stored series peaked at 8.2% in 2023 03; the 2019 average was 3.4%. The year-over-year series measures a 12-month rate of change, not the price level, a cumulative change since 2019, or the terms of an individual lease.

Shelter CPI is also different from a current asking-rent index. This page does not infer a fixed lag from private listings or use the latest Shelter CPI observation to forecast a future rent or CPI reading.

Shelter CPI Year-over-Year Change (Monthly, %)

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index — Shelter (CUSR0000SAH1, monthly, seasonally adjusted).

How Much Do Energy Costs Add to the Housing Burden?

The energy-expenditure ratio divides aggregate energy personal consumption expenditures by aggregate disposable personal income. It stands at 3.7% as of 2026-Q2, below the 2019 average of 3.7% and the 2022 maximum of 4.7%.

The stored series maximum is 8% in 1981 04. The aggregate ratio does not show the distribution across income groups, renters and homeowners, housing types, or regions, and it cannot be added to an individual household's rent share without compatible household-level data.

Energy Cost Burden (% of Disposable Income, Quarterly)

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis data retrieved via FRED (DSENEL / DSPI × 100, quarterly).

How Volatile Are Energy Prices?

Energy CPI measures the year-over-year change in consumer energy prices — gasoline, electricity, natural gas, and fuel oil combined. As of 2026-07, energy CPI reads 14.4% year-over-year.

The maximum during 2022 was 41% year-over-year. Energy CPI is a price index; it does not measure a household's energy spending, identify who pays a utility bill, or establish how energy prices affected wages, savings, or other obligations.

Energy CPI Year-over-Year Change (Monthly, %)

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index — Energy (CUSR0000SA0E, monthly, seasonally adjusted).

Can These Measures Compare Renters With Homeowners?

Not by themselves. Shelter CPI includes both rent of primary residence and owners' equivalent rent, while the ACS cost-burden estimates cited here describe renter households in 2022. Neither measure supplies a matched renter-versus-homeowner financial-stress comparison.

For purchase-market context, the Census median sales price of new houses sold was $411,000 in 2026-Q2, 28% above its 2019 average. MSPUS excludes existing-home sales and does not describe the price available to a particular renter, the amount of a needed down payment, or the wealth outcome of renters and homeowners.

For separately sourced mortgage-side measures — mortgage delinquency, FHA performance, HELOC balances, and mortgage debt service ratios — see the housing affordability statistics page.

Different Measures Do Not Create a Fixed Sequence

The ACS renter cost-burden threshold classifies housing costs relative to income in a defined survey population. Shelter CPI measures national price change, and the energy ratio uses aggregate expenditures and income. Those denominators cannot be combined into a household budget or used to assign a renter to a later debt outcome.

Saving, hardship withdrawals, skipped payments, and delinquency come from separate sources and populations. Comparisons may provide context, but these page-level observations do not establish a universal causal order or lead time.

Explore savings rate statistics — where the buffer stands now →

Data Sources and Methodology

CPI measurement basis: Every CPI reading and historical comparison on this page uses its source-owned basis unless explicitly identified otherwise: Year-over-year percent change computed from the seasonally adjusted BLS Shelter CPI (CUSR0000SAH1); seasonally adjusted values may be revised; Year-over-year percent change computed from the seasonally adjusted BLS Energy CPI (CUSR0000SA0E); seasonally adjusted values may be revised; Cumulative percent change since January 2020 computed from the seasonally adjusted BLS Food-at-Home CPI (CUSR0000SAF11); seasonally adjusted values may be revised.

BLS Consumer Price Index — Shelter

Series CUSR0000SAH1. Tracks year-over-year price change for rent of primary residence and owners' equivalent rent. Monthly, seasonally adjusted.

BLS Consumer Price Index — Energy

Series CUSR0000SA0E. Covers gasoline, electricity, natural gas, and fuel oil. Monthly, seasonally adjusted.

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)

Energy personal consumption expenditure as a share of disposable personal income, computed from U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis aggregate series DSENEL and DSPI retrieved via FRED. It is not a renter-only or household-level utility burden. Quarterly.

U.S. Census Bureau data retrieved via FRED

Median Sales Price of New Houses Sold (MSPUS). Used only as new-house purchase-market context; it excludes existing-home sales and is not an all-home median. Quarterly. American Community Survey for cost-burden thresholds and renter household demographics.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What does Shelter CPI say about rent changes?

The BLS Shelter CPI — which includes rent of primary residence and owners' equivalent rent — is 3.2% year-over-year in 2026-07, down from the stored-series peak of 8.2% in 2023 03. The accepted ADR source contains year-over-year rates, not the underlying index levels required to calculate a cumulative change since 2019. Shelter CPI also does not determine an individual renter's payment because leases, locations, and units differ. The full stored series is shown in the Shelter CPI indicator.

Is rent inflation slowing down?

The year-over-year Shelter CPI rate has fallen from its stored-series peak of 8.2% in 2023 03 to 3.2% in 2026-07; the 2019 average was 3.4%. A lower positive rate means the index rose more slowly than a year earlier. It does not by itself show the cumulative change since 2019 or the change in any individual lease.

What percentage of income do renters spend on housing?

The Joint Center for Housing Studies' America's Rental Housing 2024, citing 2022 American Community Survey data, reports 22.4 million renter households (50%) were cost-burdened and 12.1 million were severely cost-burdened (paying 50% or more of income on housing). Among renters earning under $30,000, it reports 83% were cost-burdened and 65% were severely cost-burdened. The separate energy ratio on this page is economy-wide, not an additional renter-household percentage that can be added to those ACS figures. For homeownership measures, see the housing affordability statistics page.

How do rent costs compare to mortgage costs?

Renters and homeowners face different cost structures, and neither Shelter CPI nor MSPUS supports a universal renter-versus-owner cost comparison. Fixed-rate mortgage principal and interest generally do not change with inflation, while leases and other owner costs vary. For limited purchase-market context, the Census median sales price of new houses sold was $411,000 in 2026-Q2, 28% above its 2019 average. MSPUS excludes existing-home sales and is not the median price of all homes. The housing affordability page tracks mortgage-side measures separately.

How do housing costs connect to the American Distress Index?

Shelter CPI, renter cost-burden estimates, and the aggregate energy-expenditure ratio are context rather than direct ADI inputs. They cover different populations and cannot establish a fixed sequence into saving, delinquency, or default. The ADI currently reads 43.8 (Typical). On average, its inputs sit higher than in 44% of their own quarterly histories. For the index inputs and methodology, see the ADI page.

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