AI Displacement and Household Default

Published: March 2026 | American Default Research

The workforce question belongs to AWI. The household-finance outcome belongs to ADI. The two indexes remain separate.

AI displacement is a workforce measurement problem first. The AWI tracks that pressure with its own methodology and its own zone vocabulary. ADI tracks household financial distress through the family method.

The earlier page treated the gap between those systems as a pipeline claim. This revision narrows the language: AWI can identify labor-market pressure, while ADI records whether household credit, debt burden, labor, and buffer inputs have moved.

The ADI reference page publishes the maintained national reading with its required band gloss. National band labels belong only to the ADI time series, and quarter-rank context comes from the separate rank-in-history field.

Use AWI for workforce displacement and ADI for household distress.

Refresh Trace

2026-06-12
ADI 44.6 2025-Q4 · Band 3 of 5 - On average, its inputs sit higher than in 45% of their own quarterly histories since 2005
Tracked Rank 7 / 7 refresh history
Refresh Delta -19.95 2026-06-12
Co-moving indicator Source Period Delta
CFPB Consumer Complaint Volume Consumer Financial Protection Bureau 2026-05 +33131
Continued Unemployment Claims (SA) DOL via FRED 2026-05-30 +18000
Total Consumer Credit Outstanding Federal Reserve via FRED 2026-04 +12549.92
Total Revolving Credit Outstanding Federal Reserve via FRED 2026-04 +11700.88
Initial Unemployment Claims (SA) DOL via FRED 2026-06-06 +4000
Related indicators The FHA Signal
AI WorkforceAWIHousehold BuffersFHA DelinquencyLabor Market
Ross Kilburn

Ross Kilburn has spent over two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from negotiating more than 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession to generating leads for a foreclosure defense law firm today. He is the author of The Complete Guide to Short Sales and the founder of American Default Research. Full bio →

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