Debt Stress

Mortgage Origination Volume

Tracking improving relative to recent baseline.

What is the current Mortgage Origination Volume?

MORTGAGE ORIGINATION VOLUME
$524.4B ↑ Improving
Mortgage Origination Volume at $524.4B
One year ago
$465.3B ↑ Improving
up $59.1B since Q4 2024

Mortgage origination volume was $524.4 billion in Q4 2024, according to the NY Fed Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit. Origination volume reflects both demand for housing and banks' willingness to lend — declines signal tightening credit conditions. Source: NY Fed Consumer Credit Panel / Equifax.

Mortgage Origination Volume at $524.4B

Tracking improving relative to recent baseline.

Source: NY Fed Household Debt and Credit Report · Latest: 2025-Q4

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How has Mortgage Origination Volume changed over time?

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Mortgage Origination Volume over time
Mortgage Origination Volume, billions_usd
Mortgage Origination Volume
Historical data
Quarterly · NY Fed Household Debt and Credit Report
Period Value YoY Change
Q4 2025 $524.4B +$59.1B
Q3 2025 $512.2B +$63.8B
Q2 2025 $458.3B +$84.2B
Q1 2025 $425.6B +$23.0B
Q4 2024 $465.3B +$71.6B
Q3 2024 $448.3B +$61.9B
Q2 2024 $374.1B −$19.3B
Q1 2024 $402.7B +$79.1B
Q4 2023 $393.8B −$103.8B
Q3 2023 $386.4B −$246.1B
Q2 2023 $393.4B −$364.8B
Q1 2023 $323.5B −$535.4B

Frequently Asked Questions

What is current mortgage origination volume?

U.S. mortgage originations totaled $524.4 billion in Q4 2024. This includes new purchases, refinances, and home equity originations.

Why does mortgage origination volume matter?

Falling origination volume signals tightening credit conditions and reduced housing demand. The American Distress Index tracks it as a financial conditions indicator.

Where does this data come from?

This data comes from the NY Fed Consumer Credit Panel, published quarterly as part of the Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit.

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Why does Mortgage Origination Volume matter?

Mortgage Origination Volume is one of 91 indicators in the American Distress Index's debt stress layer — the signal that predicted the 2008 crisis two years before delinquency data confirmed it.
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