Leading Indicator Discovery After the Family Rebuild
The lag research remains a research surface. It no longer supplies fitted ADI weights or retired zone language.
The leading-indicator discovery page used to embed a retired chart component that read the old ADI file directly. That component is gone. This page now records the research role of lag relationships without using them as fitted index weights.
The family-v1 ADI is built from five equal-weighted domains. Each input is ranked against its own quarterly history, then averaged inside its domain. Lag research can explain why a sequence matters. The family method remains the binding composite construction.
The ADI reference page publishes the maintained national reading with its required band gloss through canonical facts.
For the detailed statistical method, use Structural Projections Methodology and the ADI methodology.
Refresh Trace
2026-06-12| Co-moving indicator | Source | Period | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| CFPB Consumer Complaint Volume | Consumer Financial Protection Bureau | 2026-05 | +33131 |
| Continued Unemployment Claims (SA) | DOL via FRED | 2026-05-30 | +18000 |
| Total Consumer Credit Outstanding | Federal Reserve via FRED | 2026-04 | +12549.92 |
| Total Revolving Credit Outstanding | Federal Reserve via FRED | 2026-04 | +11700.88 |
| Initial Unemployment Claims (SA) | DOL via FRED | 2026-06-06 | +4000 |
Ross Kilburn has spent over two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from negotiating more than 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession to generating leads for a foreclosure defense law firm today. He is the author of The Complete Guide to Short Sales and the founder of American Default Research. Full bio →
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