#641 Texas · 2026

McLennan County, Texas

67.4 · moderate-high county distress 641st of 3,144 counties nationally · 268,583 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
28% McLennan residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

Above the national median for severe rent burden (50%+).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)

Main Findings

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McLennan County, Texas ranks 641st most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 28% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 18%. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 641st of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 67.4 · moderate-high county distress, 83rd in Texas.
  • 28% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent (U.S. median 18%). Severe rent burden (50%+) at the 96th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023).
  • Subprime credit share at 33% — national median 23%, ranked at the 84th percentile. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025).
  • Unemployment at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 60th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026).
  • Debt in collections at 35% — national median 23%, ranked at the 87th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 17-point drop to Bosque County marks where the Texas distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. McLennan County, Texas and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
McLennan and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. McLennan County ranks 641st of 3,144. American Default Research
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"McLennan County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 34 words

"The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis)."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.0% -2.9 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

16.2% -3.0 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

21.9% +11.9 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

33.5% -4.6 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind McLennan County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. McLennan County's value shown alongside TX's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is McLennan County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator McLennan TX median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 76 · Rank 638 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 7% 7% 5% 77th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 7% 5% 68th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 33% 32% 23% 84th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 59 · Rank 1,153 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 35% 35% 23% 87th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 90 78 126 31st Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 83 · Rank 312 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 23% 22% 21% 70th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 28% 17% 18% 96th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 60 · Rank 1,197 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 60th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 59 · Rank 1,231 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 20% 22% 18% 62nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 13% 16% 16% 27th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 17% 15% 14% 71st U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 14% 17% 8% 84th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 83
Weight 20% · Rank 312 of 3,144
Delinquency 76
Weight 20% · Rank 638 of 3,144
Labor 60
Weight 20% · Rank 1,197 of 3,144
Default & Legal 59
Weight 20% · Rank 1,153 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 59
Weight 20% · Rank 1,231 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite McLennan County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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WACO, Texas — McLennan County ranks 641st among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 67.4 out of 100 gives McLennan a moderate-high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 640 counties rank more distressed. Within Texas, McLennan ranks 83rd of 254 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies debt burden (housing basis) as the primary driver in McLennan. 28% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 18%.

"McLennan County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is McLennan County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

McLennan County scores 67.4 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label moderate-high county distress. It ranks 641st of 3,144 U.S. counties and 83rd of 254 Texas counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives McLennan County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 83. Severe rent burden (50%+) ranks at the 96th percentile nationally.

How does McLennan County compare to its neighbors?

McLennan County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Limestone County (70.04, high county distress). Lowest: Bosque County (52.69, moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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