About three in ten adults aged 25 to 54 in Bailey County, Texas, are not working

In Bailey County, 29.1% of adults aged 25 to 54 were not working. That is higher than in 87% of U.S. counties.

County Distress Index Data through Sep 2026
154th
of 254 counties in Texas
57score /100

More distressed than 57% of U.S. counties.

What drives Bailey County's score

In Bailey County, income and the safety net weighs most: the score for income and the safety net is 70.6. About three in ten people (28.6%, 2020 to 2024) have no health insurance, a higher share than in 95% of U.S. counties. Jobs come next, at 70.3.

The County Distress Index looks at five parts of household money trouble in Bailey County: jobs, late payments on loans, income and the safety net, collections and bankruptcy, and housing costs. Each part is scored from 0 to 100, and a higher score means worse off than other counties.

Bailey County does better than most counties on two measures: people with a credit card behind (2.1%, August 2025) and renters paying half their income or more in rent (5.9%, 2020 to 2024).

A longer bar means more trouble. See how the county score works.

  • Income and safety net

    Biggest factor
    70.6 of 100

    Poverty and income, 2024; disability and insurance, 2020–24 Census survey

    • People below the poverty line
      15.6% · 2024
      68th percentile
    • Children below the poverty line
      26.1% · 2024
      84th percentile
    • People with a disability
      14.8% · 2020 to 2024
      38th percentile
    • People without health insurance
      28.6% · 2020 to 2024
      top 5%
    • Median household income (lower income, longer bar)
      $61,259 · 2024
      67th percentile
  • Jobs

    70.3 of 100

    Unemployment through Sep 2026; adults not working, 2020–24 Census survey

    • Unemployment rate, average over the latest year
      4.1% · Oct 2025 to Sep 2026
      53rd percentile
    • Adults 25 to 54 not working
      29.1% · 2020 to 2024
      87th percentile
  • Late payments

    57.9 of 100

    Credit records, August 2025; credit scores, second quarter of 2026

    • People with a credit card behind
      2.1% · August 2025
      5th or lower percentile
    • People with a car or retail loan behind
      8.1% · August 2025
      83rd percentile
    • People with a subprime credit score
      52.5% · second quarter of 2026
      84th percentile
  • Collections and bankruptcy

    53.6 of 100

    Credit records, August 2025; bankruptcy filings, 2025

    • People with unpaid debt sent to a collector
      30.9% · August 2025
      76th percentile
    • Bankruptcy filings per 100,000 people
      89.9 · 2025
      31st percentile
  • Housing costs

    23.0 of 100

    Renters, 2020–24 Census survey; HUD's fair market rents, fiscal year 2027

    • Renters paying half their income or more in rent
      5.9% · 2020 to 2024
      5th or lower percentile
    • Rent on a two-bedroom as a share of the median income
      19.9% · fiscal year 2027
      41st percentile

Sources: Urban Institute, Debt in America; Equifax via the St. Louis Fed; Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, Table F-5A; U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey; U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development Fair Market Rents and Census income; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics; Census Bureau, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates. County Distress Index by American Default Research, from data through Sep 2026.

Where the money in Bailey County comes from

Benefit checks are Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid paid on people's behalf, veterans' benefits, and food and income support, so a high share usually means an older population, low pay, or both. In Bailey County, 19.7% of residents are 65 or older (Census Bureau, 2024), against 17.2% nationally that year.

Cents of every dollar of income, 2024

Bailey County

69 10 21

Texas

65 20 15

United States

61 21 18
  • Pay from work
  • Investments and rent
  • Benefit checks
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts (CAINC4), shares of all personal income received by residents, 2024. Pay from work is total income minus the other two, so the three add to 100.

Benefit checks' share of income in Bailey County had its largest drop, from 23.9% in 2009 to 19.1% in 2014.

In Bailey County, benefit checks' share of income has tripled since 1969, reaching 20.5% in 2024, but pay from work still brings in more than three times as much as benefit checks

In Bailey County, Texas, benefit checks' share of income tripled from 1969 to 2024, reaching 20.5%; pay from work is plotted alongside. Every fifth year and 2024 are shown.

  • Benefit checks
  • Pay from work
0%40%80% 196919741979198419891994199920042009201420192024 0%40%80% 196919791989199920092024
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts (CAINC4), shares of all personal income received by residents, Bailey County, Texas American Default Research · americandefault.org/counties/texas/bailey-county-tx/
Download data (CSV)

The share of households in Bailey County getting SNAP food aid had its largest rise in the last span, from 9.8% in 2023 to 17.9% in 2024.

The share of households in Bailey County getting SNAP food aid fell to its lowest on the chart in 2022, then climbed past the 2009 level

Low on the chart: 8.0% in 2022. Households getting SNAP, every year; each bar is a five-year survey estimate ending that year, so neighboring bars share most of their data, Bailey County, Texas.

0%10%20% 13.4%17.9% 2009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024 0%10%20% 13.4%17.9% 20092011201320152017201920212024
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates American Default Research · americandefault.org/counties/texas/bailey-county-tx/
Download data (CSV)

How Bailey County has changed

Bailey County's population had its largest drop, from 7,899 in 1984 to 7,258 in 1989.

Bailey County's population fell by about a fifth from 1969 to 2024, reaching 7,031

High on the chart: 8,781 in 1969. Residents, yearly estimate, every fifth year and 2024, Bailey County, Texas.

04,5009,000 8,7817,031 196919741979198419891994199920042009201420192024 04,5009,000 8,7817,031 196919791989199920092024
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts American Default Research · americandefault.org/counties/texas/bailey-county-tx/
Download data (CSV)

The number of jobs located in Bailey County rose most sharply from its first year (2,146 in 1990) to 2,336 in 1995.

The number of jobs located in Bailey County was at its highest on the chart in 2010 and is down 8% since

High on the chart: 2,624 in 2010. Yearly average of jobs covered by unemployment insurance, every fifth year and 2025, Bailey County, Texas.

01,5003,000 2,1462,412 19901995200020052010201520202025 01,5003,000 2,1462,412 19901995200020052010201520202025
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages American Default Research · americandefault.org/counties/texas/bailey-county-tx/
Download data (CSV)
MeasureThenNowSource
Unemployment rateBLS LAUS 1990 2.8% 2025 4.1% BLS LAUS
People below the poverty lineCensus SAIPE 1989 22.8% 2024 15.6% Census SAIPE
Median household incomeCensus SAIPE 1989 $20,613 2024 $61,259 Census SAIPE

Figures are as each agency published them, not adjusted for prices.

Dated events in Bailey County's history

  1. 1960

    The county's largest recorded population was the 1960 Census count of 9,090. The 2020 Census counted 6,904, 76% of the peak. Census Bureau

  2. 1970

    Muleshoe population peaked at over 5,000 in 1970. Wikipedia

  3. Since 1992

    16 federal disaster and emergency declarations have covered Bailey County, 2 of them for flooding. FEMA

Bailey County beside its neighbors

Of the five counties that border Bailey County, in Texas and New Mexico, four score higher. For the share of income from benefit checks, Bailey County ranks 5th of the six; Roosevelt County is highest, at 28.1%.

CountyDistress scoreScoreRank in its state Poverty rateBenefit checks, share of incomeBenefit checks
Cochran County, TX 79 70th of 254 20.8% 27.4%
Curry County, NM 78 10th of 33 16.8% 25.4%
Roosevelt County, NM 77 12th of 33 20.1% 28.1%
Lamb County, TX 64 134th of 254 17.2% 23.0%
Bailey County, TX 57 154th of 254 15.6% 20.5%
Parmer County, TX 40 211th of 254 12.7% 12.9%

Distress score: American Default Research, County Distress Index, data through Sep 2026; each county scored against all 3,144. Poverty rate: Census Bureau, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, 2024. Benefit checks: Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2024. Neighbors share a border, from Census county maps.

Is Bailey County the poorest county in Texas?

No, Bailey County's poverty rate was 15.6% in 2024, 103rd highest of 254 in Texas (U.S. Census Bureau, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates). By that measure the poorest county in the state is Starr County, at 35.4%. On our distress index, which counts more than poverty, Bailey County ranks 154th of 254 in the state.

If you're behind on your mortgage in Bailey County

Housing counselors approved by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development work at nonprofit agencies. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau describes free foreclosure-avoidance counseling, including help with mortgage-company conversations and available options Source CFPB.

Texas foreclosure guide →

The score, its 14 measures and their sources, in one file. Free to use with credit to American Default Research.

Download the CSV for Bailey County · Every U.S. county (CSV)

Cite this Bailey County, Texas, scores 57 on the County Distress Index (data through Sep 2026): more distressed than 57% of U.S. counties · American Default Research · americandefault.org/counties/texas/bailey-county-tx/

Sources and method

  • American Default Research · County Distress Index Data through Sep 2026, built from Urban Institute, Debt in America; Equifax via the St. Louis Fed; U.S. Courts, Table F-5A; Census Bureau, American Community Survey; HUD Fair Market Rents and Census income; Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics; Census Bureau, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates. The County Distress Index is American Default Research's own calculation; the Urban Institute does not produce or endorse it. Our methodology
  • Urban Institute · Debt in America Breno Braga, Signe-Mary McKernan, Samantha Atherton, and Kassandra Martinchek, "Debt in America," last updated November 20, 2025, https://datacatalog.urban.org/dataset/debt-america-2025. Licensed under ODC-By 1.0.
  • Rent on a two-bedroom and household income The rent share compares HUD fair market rent for fiscal year 2027 with Census Bureau median household income for 2024. The page calls this the typical household's income.
  • U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts (CAINC4) · income shares Where the money in Bailey County comes from, 2024.
  • History The agencies named in each row and the linked records above.