#982 Virginia · 2026

Winchester city, Virginia

61.1 · moderate-high county distress 982nd of 3,144 counties nationally · 27,617 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
30% Winchester residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Above the national median for rent-to-income ratio — and 2.5× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Steele County, ND — 12%).

HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 38 words · paste-ready

Winchester city, Virginia ranks 982nd most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: a rent-to-income ratio of 30% — above the national median of 21%. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 982nd of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 61.1 · moderate-high county distress, 46th in Virginia.
  • A rent-to-income ratio of 30% (U.S. median 21%). Rent-to-income ratio at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 7% — national median 5%, ranked at the 71st percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Uninsured rate at 11% — national median 8%, ranked at the 74th percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023).
  • Labor domain score 49 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
County Distress Index cluster map. Winchester city, Virginia and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Winchester city and its 1 geographic neighbor, graded by County Distress Index score. Winchester city ranks 982nd of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 21 words

Winchester city has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.3% -3.0 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

15.7% +5.8 pp since 1989
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

25.8% -5.2 pp since 2014 Q2
Urban Institute 2020 to 2024

Debt in collections

20.6% -11.4 pp since 2020

The Indicators Behind Winchester city's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Winchester city's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Winchester city's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Winchester city VA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 67 · Rank 966 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 7% 6% 5% 71st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 6% 5% 70th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 26% 25% 23% 60th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 43 · Rank 1,845 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 21% 22% 23% 40th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 120 177 126 47th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 87 · Rank 211 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 30% 22% 21% 95th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 23% 19% 18% 80th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 49 · Rank 1,534 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 49th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 58 · Rank 1,257 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 22% 18% 18% 69th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 14% 15% 16% 31st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 16% 13% 14% 69th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 11% 7% 8% 74th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 87
Weight 20% · Rank 211 of 3,144
Delinquency 67
Weight 20% · Rank 966 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 58
Weight 20% · Rank 1,257 of 3,144
Labor 49
Weight 20% · Rank 1,534 of 3,144
Default & Legal 43
Weight 20% · Rank 1,845 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Winchester city data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 132-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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WINCHESTER, Va. — Winchester city ranks 982nd among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 61.1 out of 100 gives Winchester city a moderate-high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 981 counties rank more distressed. Within Virginia, Winchester city ranks 46th of 133 counties and independent cities.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies debt burden (housing basis) as the primary driver in Winchester. A rent-to-income ratio of 30% — above the national median of 21%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Winchester city's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Winchester city scores 61.1 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label moderate-high county distress. It ranks 982nd of 3,144 U.S. counties and 46th of 133 Virginia counties and independent cities. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Winchester city's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 87. Rent-to-income ratio ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Winchester city compare to its neighbors?

Winchester city's neighbors span 1 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Frederick County (33.75, low-moderate county distress). Lowest: Frederick County (33.75, low-moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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