#1,302 Virginia · 2026

Spotsylvania County, Virginia

Elevated 1,302nd of 3,144 counties nationally · 149,588 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
6% Spotsylvania residents
vs.
5% U.S. median

Near the national median for auto loan delinquency.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

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Spotsylvania County, Virginia ranks 1,302nd most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 6% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due — near the national median of 5%.

Key Findings
  • 1,302nd of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Elevated zone, 63rd in Virginia.
  • 6% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due (U.S. median 5%). Auto loan delinquency at the 60th percentile nationally.
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 231 — national median 126, ranked at the 82nd percentile.
  • Wage-to-rent ratio at 2.0× — national median 4.0×, ranked at the 99th percentile.
  • Rent burden (30%+) at 49% — national median 38%, ranked at the 90th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI zones. The 32-point drop to Hanover County marks where the Virginia distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Spotsylvania County, Virginia and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Spotsylvania and its 7 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Spotsylvania County ranks 1,302nd of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Spotsylvania County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 24 words

"Elevated-zone counties are the largest block in the index. Most Americans live in counties scoring 55–70 — middle-class households doing the math every month."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Homeownership rate sits well below the rest of the Housing Cost Burden domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Spotsylvania County's homeownership rate indicator is at the 21st percentile — while every other indicator in the Housing Cost Burden domain sits at or above the 85th percentile. The gap stands out against rent burden (30%+). Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Spotsylvania Courthouse.

The Indicators Behind Spotsylvania County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Spotsylvania County's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Spotsylvania County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Spotsylvania VA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 46 · Rank 1,709 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 21% 22% 23% 42nd Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 0% 1% 4% 17th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 60th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 52nd Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 7% 7% 8% 37th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 25% 25% 23% 55th Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 77 · Rank 511 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 49% 40% 38% 90th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 24% 19% 18% 85th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 29% 25% 24% 85th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 80% 75% 74% 21st Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 19 · Rank 2,769 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 35th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 7% 13% 14% 3rd Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 1.69× 1.00× 1.00× 1st Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 9% 18% 18% 9th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 11% 15% 16% 7th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 28% 28% 27% 55th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 82 · Rank 563 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 231 177 126 82nd US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 77 · Rank 219 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 2.0× 3.5× 4.0× 99th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 25% 22% 21% 78th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 13.8 11.0 10.0 20th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 1% 5% 4% 80th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Legal Distress 82
Weight 7.4% · Rank 563 of 3,144 · Pctile 82
Economic Vitality 77
Weight 9.2% · Rank 219 of 3,144 · Pctile 93
Housing Cost Burden 77
Weight 22.2% · Rank 511 of 3,144 · Pctile 84
Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 46
Weight 47.5% · Rank 1,709 of 3,144 · Pctile 46
Structural Poverty 19
Weight 13.6% · Rank 2,769 of 3,144 · Pctile 12

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Spotsylvania County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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SPOTSYLVANIA COURTHOUSE, Va. — Spotsylvania County ranks 1,302nd among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 55 out of 100 places Spotsylvania in the "Elevated" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,301 counties rank more distressed. Within Virginia, Spotsylvania ranks 63rd of 133 counties and independent cities.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in Spotsylvania. 6% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due — near the national median of 5%.

"Spotsylvania County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Spotsylvania County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Spotsylvania County scores 55 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Elevated zone. It ranks 1,302nd of 3,144 U.S. counties and 63rd of 133 Virginia counties and independent cities. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Spotsylvania County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 46. Auto loan delinquency ranks at the 60th percentile nationally.

How does Spotsylvania County compare to its neighbors?

Spotsylvania County's neighbors span 4 CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Fredericksburg city (65.12, Serious). Lowest: Hanover County (32.80, Healthy).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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