Northumberland County, Virginia
Above the national median for unemployment — and 5.3× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 1%).
Main Findings
Northumberland County, Virginia ranks 1,253rd most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 5% of the labor force is unemployed — above the national median of 4%. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.
- 1,253rd of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 56.0 · moderate county distress, 58th in Virginia.
- 5% of the labor force is unemployed (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment at the 90th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026).
- Bankruptcy filing rate at 186 — national median 126, ranked at the 71st percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
- Auto loan delinquency at 7% — national median 5%, ranked at the 76th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
- Child poverty rate at 23% — national median 18%, ranked at the 72nd percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
Neighbors span two CDI score labels. The 19-point drop to Lancaster County marks where the Virginia distress corridor ends.
Northumberland County has a moderate county distress score. The county sits near the middle of the CDI score scale, so the domain mix carries the story.
The CDI gives this county a moderate county distress label. The domain mix matters because the same composite score can come from very different local conditions. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.
Indicator History
Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.
Unemployment rate
Poverty rate
Transfer income share
Subprime credit population
The Indicators Behind Northumberland County's CDI Score
Every number traces to a public source. Northumberland County's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.
| Indicator | Northumberland | VA median | U.S. median | Pctile | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delinquency — domain score 53 · Rank 1,467 of 3,144 | |||||
| Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due | 7% | 6% | 5% | 76th | Urban Institute Debt in America (2025) |
| Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due | 5% | 6% | 5% | 47th | Urban Institute Debt in America (2025) |
| Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 | 20% | 25% | 23% | 36th | Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025) |
| Default & Legal — domain score 54 · Rank 1,344 of 3,144 | |||||
| Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections | 20% | 22% | 23% | 37th | Urban Institute Debt in America (2025) |
| Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents | 186 | 177 | 126 | 71st | Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025) |
| Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 39 · Rank 2,022 of 3,144 | |||||
| Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income | 23% | 22% | 21% | 63rd | HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023) |
| Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent | 11% | 19% | 18% | 16th | U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023) |
| Labor — domain score 90 · Rank 309 of 3,144 | |||||
| Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed | 5% | 4% | 4% | 90th | U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026) |
| Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 44 · Rank 1,822 of 3,144 | |||||
| Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line | 23% | 18% | 18% | 72nd | U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023) |
| Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability | 15% | 15% | 16% | 39th | U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023) |
| Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line | 12% | 13% | 14% | 38th | U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023) |
| Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage | 7% | 7% | 8% | 36th | U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023) |
Five-Domain Breakdown
The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.
Methodology
The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.
Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.
For Press & Research
Everything you need to cite Northumberland County data — in under 60 seconds.
Draft wire copy 129-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
HEATHSVILLE, Va. — Northumberland County ranks 1,253rd among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.
The composite score of 56.0 out of 100 gives Northumberland a moderate county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,252 counties rank more distressed. Within Virginia, Northumberland ranks 58th of 133 counties and independent cities.
The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in Northumberland. 5% of the labor force is unemployed — above the national median of 4%.
American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.
Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Northumberland County's CDI score, and what does it mean?
What drives Northumberland County's distress score?
How does Northumberland County compare to its neighbors?
How is the County Distress Index calculated?
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