#1,311 Texas · 2026

Rains County, Texas

Elevated 1,311th of 3,144 counties nationally · 12,986 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
11% Rains residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

3× the national median of residents with medical debt in collections.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 39 words · paste-ready

Rains County, Texas ranks 1,311th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 11% of residents with a credit file carry medical debt in collections — more than double the national median of 4%.

Key Findings
  • 1,311th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Elevated zone, 169th in Texas.
  • 11% of residents with a credit file carry medical debt in collections (U.S. median 4%). Medical debt in collections at the 92nd percentile nationally.
  • Disability rate at 21% — national median 16%, ranked at the 84th percentile.
  • House price change (yoy) at -3% — national median 4%, ranked at the 94th percentile.
  • Owner housing burden at 28% — national median 24%, ranked at the 77th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 4%, near the national median of 4%, while medical debt in collections runs at the 92nd percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

County Distress Index cluster map. Rains County, Texas and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Rains and its 4 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Rains County ranks 1,311th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire quote — paste-ready, any angle 26 words

"Rains County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 24 words

"Elevated-zone counties are the largest block in the index. Most Americans live in counties scoring 55–70 — middle-class households doing the math every month."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

The Indicators Behind Rains County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Rains County's value shown alongside TX's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Rains County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Rains TX median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 73 · Rank 718 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 32% 35% 23% 79th Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 11% 9% 4% 92nd Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 7% 7% 5% 70th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 7% 5% 60th Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 14% 17% 8% 87th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 27% 32% 23% 63rd Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 24 · Rank 2,640 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 31% 37% 38% 25th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 11% 17% 18% 15th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 28% 23% 24% 77th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 83% 74% 74% 8th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 60 · Rank 1,150 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 43rd BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 14% 15% 14% 52nd Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 1.06× 1.00× 1.00× 37th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 21% 22% 18% 64th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 21% 16% 16% 84th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 34% 26% 27% 80th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 19 · Rank 2,548 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 69 78 126 19th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 50 · Rank 1,555 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 3.8× 4.1× 4.0× 63rd BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 18% 22% 21% 22nd HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 11.1 10.5 10.0 40th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change -3% 2% 4% 94th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 73
Weight 47.5% · Rank 718 of 3,144 · Pctile 77
Structural Poverty 60
Weight 13.6% · Rank 1,150 of 3,144 · Pctile 63
Economic Vitality 50
Weight 9.2% · Rank 1,555 of 3,144 · Pctile 51
Housing Cost Burden 24
Weight 22.2% · Rank 2,640 of 3,144 · Pctile 16
Legal Distress 19
Weight 7.4% · Rank 2,548 of 3,144 · Pctile 19

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Rains County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 155-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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EMORY, Texas — Rains County ranks 1,311th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 54 out of 100 places Rains in the "Elevated" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,310 counties rank more distressed. Within Texas, Rains ranks 169th of 254 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in Rains. 11% of residents with a credit file carry medical debt in collections — more than double the national median of 4%.

"Rains County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Rains County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Rains County scores 54 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Elevated zone. It ranks 1,311th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 169th of 254 Texas counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Rains County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 73. Medical debt in collections ranks at the 92nd percentile nationally.

How does Rains County compare to its neighbors?

Rains County's neighbors span two CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Hunt County (73.53, Serious). Lowest: Wood County (60.29, Elevated).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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