#360 Top 500 Most Distressed Counties · 2026

Duval County, Texas

73.5 · high county distress 360th of 3,144 counties nationally · 9,604 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
43% Duval residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

More than double the national median for child poverty rate — and 13.8× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Douglas County, CO — 3%).

U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 44 words · paste-ready

Duval County, Texas ranks 360th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 43% of children live below the federal poverty line — more than double the national median of 18%. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 360th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 73.5 · high county distress, 34th in Texas.
  • 43% of children live below the federal poverty line (U.S. median 18%). Child poverty rate at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Credit card delinquency at 12% — national median 5%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Unemployment at 5% — national median 4%, ranked at the 82nd percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 30% — national median 21%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 5%, near the national median of 4%, while credit card delinquency runs at the 95th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 21-point drop to McMullen County marks where the South Texas distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Duval County, Texas and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Duval and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Duval County ranks 360th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 20 words

Duval County has a high county distress score. The score label gives the intensity; the rank gives the national position.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 35 words

The CDI gives this county a high county distress label. The rank belongs beside the score because the two answer different questions: score intensity and national position. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023), 43% of children under 18 in Duval County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.6% -5.8 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

24.8% -11.5 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

45.8% +30.7 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

46.9% -8.1 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Duval County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Duval County's value shown alongside TX's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Duval County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Duval TX median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 92 · Rank 160 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 8% 7% 5% 85th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 12% 7% 5% 95th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 47% 32% 23% 95th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 50 · Rank 1,535 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 50% 35% 23% 95th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 21 78 126 5th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 50 · Rank 1,544 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 30% 22% 21% 95th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 2% 17% 18% 5th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 82 · Rank 548 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 5% 4% 4% 82nd U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 94 · Rank 5 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 43% 22% 18% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 23% 16% 16% 92nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 29% 15% 14% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 22% 17% 8% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 94
Weight 20% · Rank 5 of 3,144
Delinquency 92
Weight 20% · Rank 160 of 3,144
Labor 82
Weight 20% · Rank 548 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 50
Weight 20% · Rank 1,544 of 3,144
Default & Legal 50
Weight 20% · Rank 1,535 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Duval County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 134-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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SAN DIEGO, Texas — Duval County ranks 360th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 73.5 out of 100 gives Duval a high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 359 counties rank more distressed. Within Texas, Duval ranks 34th of 254 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Duval. 43% of children live below the federal poverty line — more than double the national median of 18%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Duval County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Duval County scores 73.5 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label high county distress. It ranks 360th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 34th of 254 Texas counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Duval County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 94. Child poverty rate ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Duval County compare to its neighbors?

Duval County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Jim Wells County (80.93, very high county distress). Lowest: McMullen County (60.31, moderate-high county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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