#1,806 South Dakota · 2026

Buffalo County, South Dakota

46.1 · moderate-low county distress 1,806th of 3,144 counties nationally · 1,884 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
38% Buffalo residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

More than double the national median for child poverty rate — and 12.3× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Douglas County, CO — 3%).

U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 45 words · paste-ready

Buffalo County, South Dakota ranks 1,806th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 38% of children live below the federal poverty line — more than double the national median of 18%. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 1,806th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 46.1 · moderate-low county distress, 5th in South Dakota.
  • 38% of children live below the federal poverty line (U.S. median 18%). Child poverty rate at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 44% — national median 21%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Subprime credit share at 45% — national median 23%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025).
  • Labor domain score 26 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 3%, near the national median of 4%, while subprime credit share runs at the 95th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI score labels. The 25-point drop to Hand County marks where the Crow Creek distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Buffalo County, South Dakota and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Buffalo and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Buffalo County ranks 1,806th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 18 words

Buffalo County has a moderate-low county distress score. The state rank and domain mix give the county-level context.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 33 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-low county distress label. The state rank and highest-scoring local domain add context that the composite alone cannot carry. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023), 38% of children under 18 in Buffalo County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

4.4% -4.6 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

36.3% -0.7 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

50.5% +39.1 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

44.9% +5.8 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Buffalo County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Buffalo County's value shown alongside SD's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Buffalo County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Buffalo SD median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 44 · Rank 1,777 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 3% 3% 5% 18th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 4% 4% 5% 19th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 45% 16% 23% 95th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 12 · Rank 2,979 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 13% 13% 23% 12th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 57 57 126 13th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 63 · Rank 1,004 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 44% 17% 21% 95th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 14% 12% 18% 30th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 26 · Rank 2,269 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 3% 2% 4% 26th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 86 · Rank 160 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 38% 13% 18% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 16% 12% 16% 49th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 33% 11% 14% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 43% 8% 8% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 86
Weight 20% · Rank 160 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 63
Weight 20% · Rank 1,004 of 3,144
Delinquency 44
Weight 20% · Rank 1,777 of 3,144
Labor 26
Weight 20% · Rank 2,269 of 3,144
Default & Legal 12
Weight 20% · Rank 2,979 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Buffalo County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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GANN VALLEY, S.D. — Buffalo County ranks 1,806th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 46.1 out of 100 gives Buffalo a moderate-low county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,805 counties rank more distressed. Within South Dakota, Buffalo ranks fifth of 66 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Buffalo. 38% of children live below the federal poverty line — more than double the national median of 18%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Buffalo County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Buffalo County scores 46.1 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label moderate-low county distress. It ranks 1,806th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 5th of 66 South Dakota counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Buffalo County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 86. Child poverty rate ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Buffalo County compare to its neighbors?

Buffalo County's neighbors span 4 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Lyman County (34.35, low-moderate county distress). Lowest: Hand County (9.44, exceptionally low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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