#129 Top 500 Most Distressed Counties · 2026

Seminole County, Oklahoma

Serious 129th of 3,144 counties nationally · 23,565 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
19% Seminole residents
vs.
8% U.S. median

More than double the national median for uninsured rate.

Census ACS 5-yr (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 33 words · paste-ready

Seminole County, Oklahoma ranks 129th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 19% of residents lack health insurance — more than double the national median of 8%.

Key Findings
  • 129th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Serious zone, 1st in Oklahoma.
  • 19% of residents lack health insurance (U.S. median 8%). Uninsured rate at the 96th percentile nationally.
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 250 — national median 126, ranked at the 85th percentile.
  • Disability rate at 24% — national median 16%, ranked at the 95th percentile.
  • House price change (yoy) at -14% — national median 4%, ranked at the 1st percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 6%, near the national median of 4%, while uninsured rate runs at the 96th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span two CDI zones. The 21-point drop to Pontotoc County marks where the Seminole Nation distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Seminole County, Oklahoma and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Seminole and its 4 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Seminole County ranks 129th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire quote — paste-ready, any angle 24 words

"The distress in Seminole County is the everyday kind: a household balance sheet bending under housing and health costs, not collapsing under job loss."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 27 words

"Serious-zone counties are where the cost curve is accelerating faster than wages can keep up. The distress reads like a housing story first, a credit story second."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

The Indicators Behind Seminole County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Seminole County's value shown alongside OK's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Seminole County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Seminole OK median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 90 · Rank 119 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 39% 31% 23% 92nd Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 10% 8% 4% 90th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 10% 7% 5% 92nd Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 8% 6% 5% 81st Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 19% 14% 8% 96th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 37% 30% 23% 92nd Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 48 · Rank 1,606 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 36% 34% 38% 43rd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 18% 16% 18% 50th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 21% 22% 24% 26th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 70% 72% 74% 28th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 85 · Rank 227 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 6% 4% 4% 83rd BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 19% 17% 14% 82nd Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 0.87× 1.00× 1.00× 20th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 25% 23% 18% 80th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 24% 20% 16% 95th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 38% 30% 27% 89th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 85 · Rank 463 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 250 147 126 85th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 58 · Rank 1,058 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 4.2× 4.1× 4.0× 60th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 23% 21% 21% 67th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 8.3 10.1 10.0 27th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change -14% 3% 4% 1st FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 90
Weight 47.5% · Rank 119 of 3,144 · Pctile 90
Legal Distress 85
Weight 7.4% · Rank 463 of 3,144 · Pctile 85
Structural Poverty 85
Weight 13.6% · Rank 227 of 3,144 · Pctile 85
Economic Vitality 58
Weight 9.2% · Rank 1,058 of 3,144 · Pctile 58
Housing Cost Burden 48
Weight 22.2% · Rank 1,606 of 3,144 · Pctile 48

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Seminole County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 152-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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SEMINOLE, Okla.. — Seminole County ranks 129th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 77 out of 100 places Seminole in the "Serious" zone, the highest-distress category on the index. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, only 128 rank worse. Within Oklahoma, Seminole ranks first of 77 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in Seminole. 19% of residents lack health insurance — more than double the national median of 8%.

"The distress in Seminole County is the everyday kind: a household balance sheet bending under housing and health costs, not collapsing under job loss." said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Seminole County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Seminole County scores 77 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Serious zone. It ranks 129th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 1st of 77 Oklahoma counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Seminole County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 90. Uninsured rate ranks at the 96th percentile nationally.

How does Seminole County compare to its neighbors?

Seminole County's neighbors span two CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Okfuskee County (71.81, Serious). Lowest: Pontotoc County (50.46, Elevated).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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