Orange County, North Carolina
Above the national median for severe rent burden (50%+).
Main Findings
Orange County, North Carolina ranks 2,471st most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. Orange sits near the national median across major distress indicators.
- 2,471st of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Second-least distressed fifth, 94th in North Carolina.
- 30% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent (U.S. median 18%). Severe rent burden (50%+) at the 97th percentile nationally.
- Labor domain score 35 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite.
- Delinquency domain score 26 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite.
- Safety Net & Buffer domain score 14 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite.
Neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. The 31-point drop to Chatham County marks where the North Carolina distress corridor ends.
"Orange County ranks in the second-least distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The state rank and domain mix give the county-level context."
"The CDI places this county in the second-least distressed fifth nationally. The rank still belongs in context with state position and the highest-scoring local domain."
The Indicators Behind Orange County's CDI Score
Every number traces to a public source. Orange County's value shown alongside NC's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.
| Indicator | Orange | NC median | U.S. median | Pctile | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delinquency — domain score 26 · Rank 2,410 of 3,144 | |||||
| Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due | 5% | 7% | 5% | 49th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due | 3% | 7% | 5% | 13th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 | 15% | 28% | 23% | 14th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Default & Legal — domain score 10 · Rank 3,034 of 3,144 | |||||
| Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections | 13% | 27% | 23% | 12th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents | 46 | 87 | 126 | 8th | US Courts F-5A (2025) |
| Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 84 · Rank 273 of 3,144 | |||||
| Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income | 24% | 22% | 21% | 71st | HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024) |
| Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent | 30% | 19% | 18% | 97th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Labor — domain score 35 · Rank 2,039 of 3,144 | |||||
| Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed | 3% | 3% | 4% | 35th | BLS LAUS (Dec 2025) |
| Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 14 · Rank 2,941 of 3,144 | |||||
| Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line | 8% | 21% | 18% | 5th | Census SAIPE (2023) |
| Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability | 9% | 17% | 16% | 2nd | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line | 12% | 15% | 14% | 35th | Census SAIPE (2023) |
| Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers | 12% | 30% | 27% | 3rd | BEA Regional Personal Income (2023) |
| Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage | 7% | 10% | 8% | 36th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
Five-Domain Breakdown
The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.
Methodology
The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.
Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.
For Press & Research
Everything you need to cite Orange County data — in under 60 seconds.
Draft wire copy 142-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
HILLSBOROUGH, N.C. — Orange County ranks 2,471st among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.
The composite score of 34 out of 100 places Orange in the second-least distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 2,470 counties rank more distressed. Within North Carolina, Orange ranks 94th of 100 counties.
The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Orange sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.
"Orange County ranks in the second-least distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The state rank and domain mix give the county-level context," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.
Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Orange County's CDI score, and what does it mean?
What drives Orange County's distress score?
How does Orange County compare to its neighbors?
How is the County Distress Index calculated?
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