#1,319 New York · 2026

Orange County, New York

55.0 · moderate county distress 1,319th of 3,144 counties nationally · 407,470 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
30% Orange residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

Above the national median for severe rent burden (50%+).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 44 words · paste-ready

Orange County, New York ranks 1,319th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 30% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 18%. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 1,319th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 55.0 · moderate county distress, 16th in New York.
  • 30% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent (U.S. median 18%). Severe rent burden (50%+) at the 97th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023).
  • Unemployment at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 60th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026).
  • Credit card delinquency at 6% — national median 5%, ranked at the 63rd percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 139 — national median 126, ranked at the 56th percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI score labels. The 34-point drop to Putnam County marks where the New York distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Orange County, New York and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Orange and its 8 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Orange County ranks 1,319th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 26 words

Orange County has a moderate county distress score. The county sits near the middle of the CDI score scale, so the domain mix carries the story.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate county distress label. The domain mix matters because the same composite score can come from very different local conditions. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.9% -0.5 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

12.0% +3.8 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

20.2% +11.6 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

24.1% -4.0 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Orange County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Orange County's value shown alongside NY's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Orange County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Orange NY median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 55 · Rank 1,400 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 5% 4% 5% 49th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 5% 5% 63rd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 24% 21% 23% 53rd Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 44 · Rank 1,820 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 18% 19% 23% 32nd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 139 108 126 56th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 90 · Rank 164 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 25% 23% 21% 82nd HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 30% 23% 18% 97th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 60 · Rank 1,197 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 60th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 26 · Rank 2,522 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 19% 18% 18% 57th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 11% 15% 16% 11th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 13% 14% 14% 43rd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 5% 4% 8% 15th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 90
Weight 20% · Rank 164 of 3,144
Labor 60
Weight 20% · Rank 1,197 of 3,144
Delinquency 55
Weight 20% · Rank 1,400 of 3,144
Default & Legal 44
Weight 20% · Rank 1,820 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 26
Weight 20% · Rank 2,522 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Orange County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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GOSHEN, N.Y. — Orange County ranks 1,319th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 55.0 out of 100 gives Orange a moderate county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,318 counties rank more distressed. Within New York, Orange ranks 16th of 62 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies debt burden (housing basis) as the primary driver in Orange. 30% of renter households pay 50%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 18%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Orange County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Orange County scores 55.0 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label moderate county distress. It ranks 1,319th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 16th of 62 New York counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Orange County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 90. Severe rent burden (50%+) ranks at the 97th percentile nationally.

How does Orange County compare to its neighbors?

Orange County's neighbors span 4 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Passaic County, NJ (67.29, moderate-high county distress). Lowest: Putnam County (33.64, low-moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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