#630 Missouri · 2026

Carter County, Missouri

Second-most distressed fifth 630th of 3,144 counties nationally · 5,303 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
27% Carter residents
vs.
16% U.S. median

Above the national median for disability rate — and 9.3× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (San Juan County, CO — 3%).

Census ACS 5-yr (2023)

Main Findings

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Carter County, Missouri ranks 630th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 27% of residents report a disability — above the national median of 16%.

Key Findings
  • 630th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Second-most distressed fifth, 13th in Missouri.
  • 27% of residents report a disability (U.S. median 16%). Disability rate at the 95th percentile nationally.
  • Auto loan delinquency at 11% — national median 5%, ranked at the 95th percentile.
  • Unemployment at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 62nd percentile.
  • Debt in collections at 25% — national median 23%, ranked at the 58th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 4%, near the national median of 4%, while auto loan delinquency runs at the 95th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span two CDI distress fifths. The 21-point drop to Shannon County marks where the Missouri distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Carter County, Missouri and its neighbors colored by distress fifth.
Carter and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Carter County ranks 630th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Carter County ranks in the second-most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The score is above the national county midpoint, with the domain table showing the local pressure mix."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 30 words

"The CDI places this county in the second-most distressed fifth nationally. The county sits above the median distress position, with the five-domain profile showing which local pressures carry the score."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty at 30% — 1.7× the national median

30% of children under 18 in Carter County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

The Indicators Behind Carter County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Carter County's value shown alongside MO's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Carter County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Carter MO median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 81 · Rank 497 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 11% 6% 5% 95th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 8% 5% 5% 85th Urban Institute (2024)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 27% 24% 23% 64th Urban Institute (2024)
Default & Legal — domain score 55 · Rank 1,311 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 25% 24% 23% 58th Urban Institute (2024)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 132 118 126 53rd US Courts F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 48 · Rank 1,654 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 24% 20% 21% 76th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 12% 16% 18% 19th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Labor — domain score 62 · Rank 1,190 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 3% 4% 62nd BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 90 · Rank 71 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 30% 19% 18% 91st Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 27% 17% 16% 95th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 19% 14% 14% 84th Census SAIPE (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 41% 30% 27% 94th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 14% 11% 8% 86th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 90
Weight 20% · Rank 71 of 3,144
Delinquency 81
Weight 20% · Rank 497 of 3,144
Labor 62
Weight 20% · Rank 1,190 of 3,144
Default & Legal 55
Weight 20% · Rank 1,311 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 48
Weight 20% · Rank 1,654 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Carter County data — in under 60 seconds.

Embed preview — paste into any CMS <iframe src="https://americandefault.org/embed/county/29035/" width="600" height="300" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" style="border:1px solid #e5e7eb;border-radius:8px;" title="Carter County, MO — County Distress Index"></iframe>
Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 153-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
DRAFT · 153 words · for immediate release · cleared for reuse with attribution to American Default Research

VAN BUREN, Mo. — Carter County ranks 630th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 67 out of 100 places Carter in the second-most distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 629 counties rank more distressed. Within Missouri, Carter ranks 13th of 115 counties.

The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Carter. 27% of residents report a disability — above the national median of 16%.

"Carter County ranks in the second-most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The score is above the national county midpoint, with the domain table showing the local pressure mix," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Carter County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Carter County scores 67 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the second-most distressed fifth. It ranks 630th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 13th of 115 Missouri counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Carter County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 90. Disability rate ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Carter County compare to its neighbors?

Carter County's neighbors span two CDI distress fifths. Highest-distress neighbor: Wayne County (81.72, Most distressed fifth). Lowest: Shannon County (60.72, Second-most distressed fifth).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 16 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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