#2,027 Missouri · 2026

Caldwell County, Missouri

Normal 2,027th of 3,144 counties nationally · 8,955 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
8% Caldwell residents
vs.
5% U.S. median

Above the national median for auto loan delinquency.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 26 words · paste-ready

Caldwell County, Missouri ranks 2,027th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. Caldwell sits near the national median across major distress indicators.

Key Findings
  • 2,027th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Normal zone, 84th in Missouri.
  • 8% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due (U.S. median 5%). Auto loan delinquency at the 84th percentile nationally.
  • Wage-to-rent ratio at 2.6× — national median 4.0×, ranked at the 95th percentile.
  • Transfer-income dependency at 29% — national median 27%, ranked at the 60th percentile.
  • Legal Distress domain score 36 — weight 7.4% of the CDI composite.
County Distress Index cluster map. Caldwell County, Missouri and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Caldwell and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Caldwell County ranks 2,027th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire quote — paste-ready, any angle 18 words

"Caldwell County sits at the national median. The composition of its distress matters more than the composite score."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 19 words

"Normal-zone counties are the national median. The interesting signal here is which domain is moving fastest, up or down."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Business formation rate sits well below the rest of the Economic Vitality domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Caldwell County's business formation rate indicator is at the 19th percentile — while every other indicator in the Economic Vitality domain sits at or above the 64th percentile. The gap stands out against wage-to-rent ratio. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Kingston.

The Indicators Behind Caldwell County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Caldwell County's value shown alongside MO's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Caldwell County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Caldwell MO median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 54 · Rank 1,415 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 26% 24% 23% 62nd Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 1% 5% 4% 27th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 8% 6% 5% 84th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 4% 5% 5% 30th Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 11% 11% 8% 69th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 24% 24% 23% 53rd Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 10 · Rank 3,090 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 21% 35% 38% 7th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 8% 16% 18% 7th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 20% 23% 24% 20th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 81% 76% 74% 15th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 38 · Rank 2,086 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 35th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 12% 14% 14% 33rd Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 1.12× 1.00× 1.00× 25th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 15% 19% 18% 35th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 14% 17% 16% 33rd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 29% 30% 27% 60th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 36 · Rank 2,001 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 100 118 126 36th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 76 · Rank 280 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 2.6× 4.0× 4.0× 95th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 26% 20% 21% 84th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 14.2 10.4 10.0 19th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 3% 5% 4% 64th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Economic Vitality 76
Weight 9.2% · Rank 280 of 3,144 · Pctile 91
Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 54
Weight 47.5% · Rank 1,415 of 3,144 · Pctile 55
Structural Poverty 38
Weight 13.6% · Rank 2,086 of 3,144 · Pctile 34
Legal Distress 36
Weight 7.4% · Rank 2,001 of 3,144 · Pctile 36
Housing Cost Burden 10
Weight 22.2% · Rank 3,090 of 3,144 · Pctile 2

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Caldwell County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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KINGSTON, Mo. — Caldwell County ranks 2,027th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 43 out of 100 places Caldwell in the "Normal" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 2,026 counties rank more distressed. Within Missouri, Caldwell ranks 84th of 115 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Caldwell sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

"Caldwell County sits at the national median. The composition of its distress matters more than the composite score," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Caldwell County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Caldwell County scores 43 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Normal zone. It ranks 2,027th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 84th of 115 Missouri counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Caldwell County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 54. Auto loan delinquency ranks at the 84th percentile nationally.

How does Caldwell County compare to its neighbors?

Caldwell County's neighbors span two CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Ray County (46.10, Normal). Lowest: Daviess County (31.52, Healthy).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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