#3,023 Minnesota · 2026

Douglas County, Minnesota

Healthy 3,023rd of 3,144 counties nationally · 39,953 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
31% Douglas residents
vs.
24% U.S. median

Above the national median for owner housing burden.

Census ACS 5-yr (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 26 words · paste-ready

Douglas County, Minnesota ranks 3,023rd most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. Douglas sits near the national median across major distress indicators.

Key Findings
  • 3,023rd of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Healthy zone, 80th in Minnesota.
  • 31% of owner households pay 30%+ of income on housing (U.S. median 24%). Owner housing burden at the 92nd percentile nationally.
  • Unemployment at 6% — national median 4%, ranked at the 76th percentile.
  • Structural Poverty domain score 29 — weight 13.6% of the CDI composite.
  • Economic Vitality domain score 18 — weight 9.2% of the CDI composite.
County Distress Index cluster map. Douglas County, Minnesota and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Douglas and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Douglas County ranks 3,023rd of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Douglas County is one of the steadier counties on the index — durable fundamentals across most domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock can change the picture quickly."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 29 words

"Healthy-zone counties have durable fundamentals across most distress domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock — health, housing, or income — can change the picture quickly."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

The Indicators Behind Douglas County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Douglas County's value shown alongside MN's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Douglas County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Douglas MN median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 6 · Rank 3,133 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 9% 12% 23% 1st Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 0% 0% 4% 14th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 2% 3% 5% 8th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 3% 3% 5% 9th Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 4% 5% 8% 8th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 11% 16% 23% 3rd Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 48 · Rank 1,632 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 36% 38% 38% 42nd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 17% 19% 18% 44th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 31% 26% 24% 92nd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 76% 80% 74% 39th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 29 · Rank 2,412 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 6% 6% 4% 76th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 9% 10% 14% 11th Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 1.07× 1.00× 1.00× 34th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 8% 11% 18% 6th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 12% 13% 16% 15th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 24% 25% 27% 34th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 46 · Rank 1,712 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 118 132 126 46th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 18 · Rank 3,066 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 4.8× 4.2× 4.0× 12th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 16% 18% 21% 4th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 10.7 8.2 10.0 43rd Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 5% 3% 4% 33rd FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Housing Cost Burden Primary driver 48
Weight 22.2% · Rank 1,632 of 3,144 · Pctile 48
Legal Distress 46
Weight 7.4% · Rank 1,712 of 3,144 · Pctile 46
Structural Poverty 29
Weight 13.6% · Rank 2,412 of 3,144 · Pctile 23
Economic Vitality 18
Weight 9.2% · Rank 3,066 of 3,144 · Pctile 2
Consumer Credit Distress 6
Weight 47.5% · Rank 3,133 of 3,144 · Pctile 0

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Douglas County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 149-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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ALEXANDRIA, Minn. — Douglas County ranks 3,023rd among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 23 out of 100 places Douglas in the "Healthy" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 3,022 counties rank more distressed. Within Minnesota, Douglas ranks 80th of 87 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Douglas sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

"Douglas County is one of the steadier counties on the index — durable fundamentals across most domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock can change the picture quickly," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Douglas County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Douglas County scores 23 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Healthy zone. It ranks 3,023rd of 3,144 U.S. counties and 80th of 87 Minnesota counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Douglas County's distress score?

The primary driver is Housing Cost Burden, at a domain score of 48. Owner housing burden ranks at the 92nd percentile nationally.

How does Douglas County compare to its neighbors?

Douglas County's neighbors span two CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Stearns County (39.22, Normal). Lowest: Otter Tail County (26.84, Healthy).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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