#2,601 California · 2026

Marin County, California

Healthy 2,601st of 3,144 counties nationally · 254,407 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
52% Marin residents
vs.
38% U.S. median

Above the national median for rent burden (30%+).

Census ACS 5-yr (2023)

Main Findings

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Marin County, California ranks 2,601st most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. Marin sits near the national median across major distress indicators.

Key Findings
  • 2,601st of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Healthy zone, 53rd in California.
  • 52% of renter households pay 30%+ of income on rent (U.S. median 38%). Rent burden (30%+) at the 96th percentile nationally.
  • Wage-to-rent ratio at 2.2× — national median 4.0×, ranked at the 99th percentile.
  • Legal Distress domain score 15 — weight 7.4% of the CDI composite.
  • Structural Poverty domain score 8 — weight 13.6% of the CDI composite.
County Distress Index cluster map. Marin County, California and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Marin and its 2 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Marin County ranks 2,601st of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Marin County is one of the steadier counties on the index — durable fundamentals across most domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock can change the picture quickly."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 29 words

"Healthy-zone counties have durable fundamentals across most distress domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock — health, housing, or income — can change the picture quickly."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Business formation rate sits well below the rest of the Economic Vitality domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Marin County's business formation rate indicator is at the 19th percentile — while every other indicator in the Economic Vitality domain sits at or above the 90th percentile. The gap stands out against wage-to-rent ratio and rent-to-income ratio. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in San Rafael.

The Indicators Behind Marin County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Marin County's value shown alongside CA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Marin County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Marin CA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 4 · Rank 3,144 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 8% 18% 23% 1st Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 0% 0% 4% 7th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 2% 4% 5% 5th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 2% 5% 5% 5th Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 4% 6% 8% 6th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 9% 20% 23% 1st Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 94 · Rank 48 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 52% 49% 38% 96th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 28% 25% 18% 95th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 32% 31% 24% 95th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 64% 63% 74% 87th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 8 · Rank 3,062 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 6% 4% 39th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 9% 13% 14% 11th Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 1.72× 1.00× 1.00× 1st Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 8% 16% 18% 5th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 10% 13% 16% 4th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 7% 24% 27% 1st BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 15 · Rank 2,678 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 60 119 126 15th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 83 · Rank 66 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 2.2× 3.0× 4.0× 99th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 31% 27% 21% 97th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 14.1 8.5 10.0 19th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change -1% 1% 4% 90th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Housing Cost Burden Primary driver 94
Weight 22.2% · Rank 48 of 3,144 · Pctile 98
Economic Vitality 83
Weight 9.2% · Rank 66 of 3,144 · Pctile 98
Legal Distress 15
Weight 7.4% · Rank 2,678 of 3,144 · Pctile 15
Structural Poverty 8
Weight 13.6% · Rank 3,062 of 3,144 · Pctile 3
Consumer Credit Distress 4
Weight 47.5% · Rank 3,144 of 3,144 · Pctile 0

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Marin County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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SAN RAFAEL, Calif. — Marin County ranks 2,601st among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 33 out of 100 places Marin in the "Healthy" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 2,600 counties rank more distressed. Within California, Marin ranks 53rd of 58 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Marin sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

"Marin County is one of the steadier counties on the index — durable fundamentals across most domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock can change the picture quickly," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Marin County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Marin County scores 33 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Healthy zone. It ranks 2,601st of 3,144 U.S. counties and 53rd of 58 California counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Marin County's distress score?

The primary driver is Housing Cost Burden, at a domain score of 94. Rent burden (30%+) ranks at the 96th percentile nationally.

How does Marin County compare to its neighbors?

Marin County's neighbors span two CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Sonoma County (39.93, Normal). Lowest: San Francisco County (25.31, Healthy).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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