#298 Top 500 Most Distressed Counties · 2026

Kern County, California

75.1 · high county distress 298th of 3,144 counties nationally · 913,820 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
8% Kern residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

More than double the national median for unemployment — and 8.3× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 1%).

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)

Main Findings

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Kern County, California ranks 298th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 8% of the labor force is unemployed — more than double the national median of 4%. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor.

Key Findings
  • 298th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 75.1 · high county distress, 1st in California.
  • 8% of the labor force is unemployed (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment at the 99th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026).
  • Severe rent burden (50%+) at 26% — national median 18%, ranked at the 91st percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023).
  • Subprime credit share at 31% — national median 23%, ranked at the 78th percentile. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 172 — national median 126, ranked at the 67th percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI score labels. The 36-point drop to Inyo County marks where the Central Valley distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Kern County, California and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Kern and its 8 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Kern County ranks 298th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Kern County has a high county distress score. The score label gives the intensity; the rank gives the national position."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 32 words

"The CDI gives this county a high county distress label. The rank belongs beside the score because the two answer different questions: score intensity and national position. Its highest-scoring domain is Labor."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

9.0% -1.9 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

18.6% +3.0 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

24.0% +13.8 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

31.1% -3.9 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Kern County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Kern County's value shown alongside CA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Kern County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Kern CA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 72 · Rank 795 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 6% 4% 5% 62nd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 5% 5% 75th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 31% 20% 23% 78th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 65 · Rank 932 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 27% 18% 23% 63rd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 172 119 126 67th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 88 · Rank 205 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 26% 27% 21% 85th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 26% 25% 18% 91st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 99 · Rank 10 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 8% 5% 4% 99th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 52 · Rank 1,509 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 25% 16% 18% 79th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 12% 13% 16% 16th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 19% 13% 14% 82nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 8% 6% 8% 47th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 99
Weight 20% · Rank 10 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 88
Weight 20% · Rank 205 of 3,144
Delinquency 72
Weight 20% · Rank 795 of 3,144
Default & Legal 65
Weight 20% · Rank 932 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 52
Weight 20% · Rank 1,509 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Kern County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 144-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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BAKERSFIELD, Calif. — Kern County ranks 298th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 75.1 out of 100 gives Kern a high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 297 counties rank more distressed. Within California, Kern ranks first of 58 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in Kern. 8% of the labor force is unemployed — more than double the national median of 4%.

"Kern County has a high county distress score. The score label gives the intensity; the rank gives the national position," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Kern County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Kern County scores 75.1 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label high county distress. It ranks 298th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 1st of 58 California counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Kern County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 99. Unemployment ranks at the 99th percentile nationally.

How does Kern County compare to its neighbors?

Kern County's neighbors span 4 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Kings County (72.26, high county distress). Lowest: Inyo County (35.93, low-moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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