#1,014 Alabama · 2026

Clay County, Alabama

Elevated 1,014th of 3,144 counties nationally · 14,111 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
12% Clay residents
vs.
5% U.S. median

More than double the national median for auto loan delinquency.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 37 words · paste-ready

Clay County, Alabama ranks 1,014th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 12% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due — more than double the national median of 5%.

Key Findings
  • 1,014th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Elevated zone, 45th in Alabama.
  • 12% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due (U.S. median 5%). Auto loan delinquency at the 95th percentile nationally.
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 276 — national median 126, ranked at the 88th percentile.
  • Transfer-income dependency at 35% — national median 27%, ranked at the 82nd percentile.
  • Business formation rate at 7.4 — national median 10.0, ranked at the 86th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 3%, near the national median of 4%, while auto loan delinquency runs at the 95th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span two CDI zones. The 15-point drop to Tallapoosa County marks where the Alabama distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Clay County, Alabama and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Clay and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Clay County ranks 1,014th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire quote — paste-ready, any angle 26 words

"Clay County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 24 words

"Elevated-zone counties are the largest block in the index. Most Americans live in counties scoring 55–70 — middle-class households doing the math every month."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Unemployment sits well below the rest of the Structural Poverty domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Clay County's unemployment indicator is at the 16th percentile — while every other indicator in the Structural Poverty domain sits at or above the 52nd percentile. The gap stands out against the other credit indicators. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Ashland.

The Indicators Behind Clay County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Clay County's value shown alongside AL's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Clay County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Clay AL median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 76 · Rank 614 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 30% 32% 23% 75th Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 5% 5% 4% 59th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 12% 8% 5% 95th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 7% 5% 74th Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 8% 9% 8% 53rd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 33% 33% 23% 83rd Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 23 · Rank 2,690 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 32% 37% 38% 29th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 9% 18% 18% 11th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 22% 22% 24% 31st Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 78% 75% 74% 31st Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 65 · Rank 941 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 3% 3% 4% 16th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 17% 18% 14% 72nd Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 0.99× 1.00× 1.00× 52nd Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 25% 25% 18% 80th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 20% 20% 16% 79th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 35% 32% 27% 82nd BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 88 · Rank 366 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 276 394 126 88th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 26 · Rank 2,826 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 4.8× 4.8× 4.0× 13th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 18% 19% 21% 18th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 7.4 9.8 10.0 86th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 27% 2% 4% 5th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Legal Distress 88
Weight 7.4% · Rank 366 of 3,144 · Pctile 88
Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 76
Weight 47.5% · Rank 614 of 3,144 · Pctile 80
Structural Poverty 65
Weight 13.6% · Rank 941 of 3,144 · Pctile 70
Economic Vitality 26
Weight 9.2% · Rank 2,826 of 3,144 · Pctile 10
Housing Cost Burden 23
Weight 22.2% · Rank 2,690 of 3,144 · Pctile 14

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Clay County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 153-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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ASHLAND, Ala. — Clay County ranks 1,014th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 59 out of 100 places Clay in the "Elevated" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,013 counties rank more distressed. Within Alabama, Clay ranks 45th of 67 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in Clay. 12% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due — more than double the national median of 5%.

"Clay County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Clay County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Clay County scores 59 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Elevated zone. It ranks 1,014th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 45th of 67 Alabama counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Clay County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 76. Auto loan delinquency ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Clay County compare to its neighbors?

Clay County's neighbors span two CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Talladega County (68.30, Serious). Lowest: Tallapoosa County (52.92, Elevated).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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