#677 Virginia · 2026

Fredericksburg city, Virginia

66.8 · moderate-high county distress 677th of 3,144 counties nationally · 28,928 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
36% Fredericksburg residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Above the national median for rent-to-income ratio — and 3.0× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Steele County, ND — 12%).

HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 38 words · paste-ready

Fredericksburg city, Virginia ranks 677th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: a rent-to-income ratio of 36% — above the national median of 21%. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 677th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 66.8 · moderate-high county distress, 32nd in Virginia.
  • A rent-to-income ratio of 36% (U.S. median 21%). Rent-to-income ratio at the 99th percentile nationally. Source: HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 8% — national median 5%, ranked at the 84th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 252 — national median 126, ranked at the 86th percentile. Source: Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025).
  • Unemployment at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 60th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026).
County Distress Index cluster map. Fredericksburg city, Virginia and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Fredericksburg city and its 2 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Fredericksburg city ranks 677th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 21 words

Fredericksburg city has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.5% -1.3 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

12.2% +6.1 pp since 1989
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

31.0% -1.8 pp since 2014 Q2
Urban Institute 2020 to 2024

Debt in collections

23.8% -8.2 pp since 2020

The Indicators Behind Fredericksburg city's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Fredericksburg city's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Fredericksburg city's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Fredericksburg city VA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 75 · Rank 676 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 8% 6% 5% 84th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 6% 5% 64th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 31% 25% 23% 78th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 69 · Rank 773 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 24% 22% 23% 52nd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 252 177 126 86th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 95 · Rank 59 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 36% 22% 21% 99th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 26% 19% 18% 90th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 60 · Rank 1,197 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 60th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 35 · Rank 2,211 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 19% 18% 18% 58th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 10% 15% 16% 4th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 13% 13% 14% 43rd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 8% 7% 8% 48th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 95
Weight 20% · Rank 59 of 3,144
Delinquency 75
Weight 20% · Rank 676 of 3,144
Default & Legal 69
Weight 20% · Rank 773 of 3,144
Labor 60
Weight 20% · Rank 1,197 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 35
Weight 20% · Rank 2,211 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Fredericksburg city data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 132-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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FREDERICKSBURG, Va. — Fredericksburg city ranks 677th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 66.8 out of 100 gives Fredericksburg city a moderate-high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 676 counties rank more distressed. Within Virginia, Fredericksburg city ranks 32nd of 133 counties and independent cities.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies debt burden (housing basis) as the primary driver in Fredericksburg. A rent-to-income ratio of 36% — above the national median of 21%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Fredericksburg city's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Fredericksburg city scores 66.8 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label moderate-high county distress. It ranks 677th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 32nd of 133 Virginia counties and independent cities. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Fredericksburg city's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 95. Rent-to-income ratio ranks at the 99th percentile nationally.

How does Fredericksburg city compare to its neighbors?

Fredericksburg city's neighbors span two CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Spotsylvania County (51.90, moderate county distress). Lowest: Stafford County (39.42, low-moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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