Uvalde County, Texas
3× the national median for auto loan delinquency.
Main Findings
Uvalde County, Texas ranks 427th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 15% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due — more than double the national median of 5%.
- 427th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Serious zone, 61st in Texas.
- 15% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due (U.S. median 5%). Auto loan delinquency at the 99th percentile nationally.
- Child poverty rate at 32% — national median 18%, ranked at the 94th percentile.
- Rent-to-income ratio at 28% — national median 21%, ranked at the 90th percentile.
- Homeownership rate at 66% — national median 74%, ranked at the 19th percentile.
Unemployment is 5%, near the national median of 4%, while auto loan delinquency runs at the 99th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.
Neighbors span three CDI zones. The 24-point drop to Bandera County marks where the Texas distress corridor ends.
"The distress in Uvalde County is the everyday kind: a household balance sheet bending under housing and health costs, not collapsing under job loss."
"Serious-zone counties are where the cost curve is accelerating faster than wages can keep up. The distress reads like a housing story first, a credit story second."
Reporter's Notes
Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.
Uvalde County's house price change (YoY) indicator is at the 23rd percentile — while every other indicator in the Economic Vitality domain is above the 64th. The gap stands out against rent-to-income ratio. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Uvalde County.
32% of children under 18 in Uvalde County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.
The Indicators Behind Uvalde County's CDI Score
Every number traces to a public source. Uvalde County's value shown alongside TX's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.
| Indicator | Uvalde | TX median | U.S. median | Pctile | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 87 · Rank 207 of 3,144 | |||||
| Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections | 39% | 35% | 23% | 93rd | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections | 4% | 9% | 4% | 54th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due | 15% | 7% | 5% | 99th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due | 9% | 7% | 5% | 88th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage | 20% | 17% | 8% | 96th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 | 35% | 32% | 23% | 89th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Housing Cost Burden — domain score 41 · Rank 1,884 of 3,144 | |||||
| Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent | 36% | 37% | 38% | 44th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent | 11% | 17% | 18% | 16th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing | 26% | 23% | 24% | 64th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied | 66% | 74% | 74% | 19th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Structural Poverty — domain score 81 · Rank 350 of 3,144 | |||||
| Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed | 5% | 4% | 4% | 63rd | BLS LAUS (Dec 2025) |
| Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line | 21% | 15% | 14% | 89th | Census SAIPE (2023) |
| Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median | 0.81× | 1.00× | 1.00× | 10th | Census SAIPE (2023) |
| Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line | 32% | 22% | 18% | 94th | Census SAIPE (2023) |
| Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability | 20% | 16% | 16% | 82nd | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers | 30% | 26% | 27% | 67th | BEA Regional Personal Income (2023) |
| Legal Distress — domain score 12 · Rank 2,761 of 3,144 | |||||
| Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents | 56 | 78 | 126 | 12th | US Courts F-5A (2025) |
| Economic Vitality — domain score 73 · Rank 382 of 3,144 | |||||
| Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent | 3.5× | 4.1× | 4.0× | 26th | BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024) |
| Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income | 28% | 22% | 21% | 90th | HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024) |
| Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents | 8.7 | 10.5 | 10.0 | 32nd | Census Business Formation Statistics (2024) |
| House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change | 6% | 2% | 4% | 77th | FHFA HPI (2024) |
Five-Domain Breakdown
The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.
Methodology
The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).
Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.
For Press & Research
Everything you need to cite Uvalde County data — in under 60 seconds.
Draft wire copy 156-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
UVALDE, Texas. — Uvalde County ranks 427th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.
The composite score of 69 out of 100 places Uvalde in the "Serious" zone, the highest-distress category on the index. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, only 426 rank worse. Within Texas, Uvalde ranks 61st of 254 counties.
The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in Uvalde. 15% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due — more than double the national median of 5%.
"The distress in Uvalde County is the everyday kind: a household balance sheet bending under housing and health costs, not collapsing under job loss." said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.
Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Uvalde County's CDI score, and what does it mean?
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