#1,176 Texas · 2026

Denton County, Texas

Elevated 1,176th of 3,144 counties nationally · 1,007,703 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
6% Denton residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

More than double the national median of residents with medical debt in collections.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 37 words · paste-ready

Denton County, Texas ranks 1,176th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 6% of residents with a credit file carry medical debt in collections — above the national median of 4%.

Key Findings
  • 1,176th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Elevated zone, 155th in Texas.
  • 6% of residents with a credit file carry medical debt in collections (U.S. median 4%). Medical debt in collections at the 73rd percentile nationally.
  • Owner housing burden at 32% — national median 24%, ranked at the 95th percentile.
  • Wage-to-rent ratio at 2.8× — national median 4.0×, ranked at the 8th percentile.
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 164 — national median 126, ranked at the 65th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI zones. The 25-point drop to Collin County marks where the North Texas distress corridor ends.

Stalled Formation

Mid-size city of 1,007,703 residents, with a business application rate at the 7th percentile. Entrepreneurship has largely stopped.

County Distress Index cluster map. Denton County, Texas and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Denton and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Denton County ranks 1,176th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire quote — paste-ready, any angle 25 words

"Denton County is where distress lives in the margins — not a headline county, but a county where most households are running out of runway."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 24 words

"Elevated-zone counties are the largest block in the index. Most Americans live in counties scoring 55–70 — middle-class households doing the math every month."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Business formation rate sits near the national median — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Denton County's business formation rate indicator is at the 7th percentile — while every other indicator in the Economic Vitality domain is above the 61th. The gap stands out against wage-to-rent ratio and house price change (YoY). Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Denton County.

The Indicators Behind Denton County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Denton County's value shown alongside TX's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Denton County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Denton TX median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 55 · Rank 1,387 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 24% 35% 23% 52nd Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 6% 9% 4% 73rd Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 5% 7% 5% 48th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 7% 5% 44th Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 11% 17% 8% 70th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 25% 32% 23% 56th Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 83 · Rank 292 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 48% 37% 38% 88th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 22% 17% 18% 75th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 32% 23% 24% 95th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 65% 74% 74% 17th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 6 · Rank 3,097 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 36th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 6% 15% 14% 1st Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 1.78× 1.00× 1.00× 99th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 6% 22% 18% 1st Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 9% 16% 16% 3rd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 10% 26% 27% 1st BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 65 · Rank 1,111 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 164 78 126 65th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 67 · Rank 664 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 2.8× 4.1× 4.0× 8th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 22% 22% 21% 55th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 18.2 10.5 10.0 93rd Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change -1% 2% 4% 10th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Housing Cost Burden 83
Weight 22.2% · Rank 292 of 3,144 · Pctile 83
Economic Vitality 67
Weight 9.2% · Rank 664 of 3,144 · Pctile 67
Legal Distress 65
Weight 7.4% · Rank 1,111 of 3,144 · Pctile 65
Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 55
Weight 47.5% · Rank 1,387 of 3,144 · Pctile 55
Structural Poverty 6
Weight 13.6% · Rank 3,097 of 3,144 · Pctile 6

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Denton County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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DENTON, Texas. — Denton County ranks 1,176th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 56 out of 100 places Denton in the "Elevated" zone, the highest-distress category on the index. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, only 1175 rank worse. Within Texas, Denton ranks 155th of 254 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in Denton. 6% of residents with a credit file carry medical debt in collections — above the national median of 4%.

"Denton County is where distress lives in the margins — not a headline county, but a county where most households are running out of runway." said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Denton County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Denton County scores 56 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Elevated zone. It ranks 1,176th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 155th of 254 Texas counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Denton County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 55. Medical debt in collections ranks at the 73rd percentile nationally.

How does Denton County compare to its neighbors?

Denton County's neighbors span three CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Dallas County (73.60, Serious). Lowest: Collin County (48.47, Normal).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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