#1,110 Tennessee · 2026

Warren County, Tennessee

Second-most distressed fifth 1,110th of 3,144 counties nationally · 42,638 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
18% Warren residents
vs.
14% U.S. median

Above the national median for poverty rate — and 5.3× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Lincoln County, SD — 3%).

Census SAIPE (2023)

Main Findings

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Warren County, Tennessee ranks 1,110th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 18% of residents live below the federal poverty line — above the national median of 14%.

Key Findings
  • 1,110th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Second-most distressed fifth, 50th in Tennessee.
  • 18% of residents live below the federal poverty line (U.S. median 14%). Poverty rate at the 76th percentile nationally.
  • Auto loan delinquency at 8% — national median 5%, ranked at the 83rd percentile.
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 181 — national median 126, ranked at the 70th percentile.
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 23% — national median 21%, ranked at the 70th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. The 24-point drop to Van Buren County marks where the Tennessee distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Warren County, Tennessee and its neighbors colored by distress fifth.
Warren and its 7 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Warren County ranks 1,110th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Warren County ranks in the second-most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The score is above the national county midpoint, with the domain table showing the local pressure mix."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 30 words

"The CDI places this county in the second-most distressed fifth nationally. The county sits above the median distress position, with the five-domain profile showing which local pressures carry the score."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

The Indicators Behind Warren County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Warren County's value shown alongside TN's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Warren County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Warren TN median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 66 · Rank 1,016 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 8% 6% 5% 83rd Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 6% 5% 47th Urban Institute (2024)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 28% 26% 23% 67th Urban Institute (2024)
Default & Legal — domain score 65 · Rank 908 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 26% 28% 23% 61st Urban Institute (2024)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 181 216 126 70th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 43 · Rank 1,882 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 23% 22% 21% 70th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 11% 17% 18% 15th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Labor — domain score 43 · Rank 1,821 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 3% 4% 4% 43rd BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 76 · Rank 561 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 22% 21% 18% 72nd Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 19% 19% 16% 75th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 18% 16% 14% 76th Census SAIPE (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 32% 30% 27% 75th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 11% 10% 8% 72nd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 76
Weight 20% · Rank 561 of 3,144
Delinquency 66
Weight 20% · Rank 1,016 of 3,144
Default & Legal 65
Weight 20% · Rank 908 of 3,144
Labor 43
Weight 20% · Rank 1,821 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 43
Weight 20% · Rank 1,882 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Warren County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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MCMINNVILLE, Tenn. — Warren County ranks 1,110th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 59 out of 100 places Warren in the second-most distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,109 counties rank more distressed. Within Tennessee, Warren ranks 50th of 95 counties.

The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Warren. 18% of residents live below the federal poverty line — above the national median of 14%.

"Warren County ranks in the second-most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The score is above the national county midpoint, with the domain table showing the local pressure mix," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Warren County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Warren County scores 59 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the second-most distressed fifth. It ranks 1,110th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 50th of 95 Tennessee counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Warren County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 76. Poverty rate ranks at the 76th percentile nationally.

How does Warren County compare to its neighbors?

Warren County's neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. Highest-distress neighbor: Sequatchie County (73.38, Most distressed fifth). Lowest: Van Buren County (49.21, Middle fifth).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 16 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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