#870 South Dakota · 2026

Todd County, South Dakota

63.0 · moderate-high county distress 870th of 3,144 counties nationally · 9,199 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
38% Todd residents
vs.
18% U.S. median

More than double the national median for child poverty rate — and 12.2× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Douglas County, CO — 3%).

U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 45 words · paste-ready

Todd County, South Dakota ranks 870th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 38% of children live below the federal poverty line — more than double the national median of 18%. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 870th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 63.0 · moderate-high county distress, 2nd in South Dakota.
  • 38% of children live below the federal poverty line (U.S. median 18%). Child poverty rate at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Unemployment at 4% — national median 4%, ranked at the 75th percentile. Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 21% — national median 5%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Debt in collections at 49% — national median 23%, ranked at the 95th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 4%, near the national median of 4%, while auto loan delinquency runs at the 95th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 15-point drop to Cherry County, NE marks a cross-border distress gradient.

County Distress Index cluster map. Todd County, South Dakota and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Todd and its 4 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Todd County ranks 870th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 21 words

Todd County has a moderate-high county distress score. The domain mix shows whether pressure is concentrated or spread across the profile.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-high county distress label. The domain table shows whether the score comes from debt, labor, safety-net pressure, or a mix. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Credit card delinquency sits well below the rest of the Delinquency domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

According to Urban Institute Debt in America (2025), Todd County's credit card delinquency indicator is at the 19th percentile. American Default Research's CDI places every other indicator in the Delinquency domain at or above the 95th percentile. The gap stands out against auto loan delinquency and subprime credit share. Worth a call to the source agency or a local subject-matter contact in Winner.

Reporting hook
Child poverty is the reporting lead

According to U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023), 38% of children under 18 in Todd County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

5.6% -4.3 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

32.9% -20.7 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

43.4% +31.4 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

44.3% +5.0 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Todd County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Todd County's value shown alongside SD's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Todd County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Todd SD median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 70 · Rank 874 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 21% 3% 5% 95th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 4% 4% 5% 19th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 44% 16% 23% 95th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 54 · Rank 1,373 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 49% 13% 23% 95th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 57 57 126 13th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 41 · Rank 1,951 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 22% 17% 21% 60th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 13% 12% 18% 22nd U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 75 · Rank 745 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 2% 4% 75th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 75 · Rank 570 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 38% 13% 18% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 10% 12% 16% 6th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 36% 11% 14% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 24% 8% 8% 95th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 75
Weight 20% · Rank 570 of 3,144
Labor 75
Weight 20% · Rank 745 of 3,144
Delinquency 70
Weight 20% · Rank 874 of 3,144
Default & Legal 54
Weight 20% · Rank 1,373 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 41
Weight 20% · Rank 1,951 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Todd County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 134-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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WINNER, S.D. — Todd County ranks 870th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 63.0 out of 100 gives Todd a moderate-high county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 869 counties rank more distressed. Within South Dakota, Todd ranks second of 66 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Todd. 38% of children live below the federal poverty line — more than double the national median of 18%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Todd County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Todd County scores 63.0 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label moderate-high county distress. It ranks 870th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 2nd of 66 South Dakota counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Todd County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 75. Child poverty rate ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Todd County compare to its neighbors?

Todd County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Bennett County (41.67, moderate-low county distress). Lowest: Cherry County, NE (26.30, low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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