#1,990 North Carolina · 2026

Wake County, North Carolina

Normal 1,990th of 3,144 counties nationally · 1,190,275 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
5% Wake residents
vs.
5% U.S. median

Near the national median for auto loan delinquency.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 36 words · paste-ready

Wake County, North Carolina ranks 1,990th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 5% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due — near the national median of 5%.

Key Findings
  • 1,990th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Normal zone, 86th in North Carolina.
  • 5% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due (U.S. median 5%). Auto loan delinquency at the 53rd percentile nationally.
  • Homeownership rate at 64% — national median 74%, ranked at the 14th percentile.
  • House price change (yoy) at 1% — national median 4%, ranked at the 20th percentile.
  • Legal Distress domain score 29 — weight 7.4% of the CDI composite.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span two CDI zones. The 32-point drop to Chatham County marks where the Research Triangle distress corridor ends.

Stalled Formation

Mid-size city of 1,190,275 residents, with a business application rate at the 4th percentile. Entrepreneurship has largely stopped.

County Distress Index cluster map. Wake County, North Carolina and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Wake and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Wake County ranks 1,990th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire quote — paste-ready, any angle 19 words

"Wake County sits at the national median, but the composition of its distress matters more than the composite score."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 23 words

"Normal-zone counties are the national median. The interesting signal here isn't the composite score but which domain is moving fastest, up or down."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Business formation rate sits near the national median — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Wake County's business formation rate indicator is at the 4th percentile — while every other indicator in the Economic Vitality domain is above the 49th. The gap stands out against the other credit indicators. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Wake County.

The Indicators Behind Wake County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Wake County's value shown alongside NC's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Wake County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Wake NC median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 40 · Rank 1,918 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 19% 27% 23% 33rd Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 1% 4% 4% 25th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 5% 7% 5% 53rd Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 7% 5% 41st Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 8% 10% 8% 51st Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 21% 28% 23% 40th Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 76 · Rank 548 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 46% 40% 38% 81st Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 21% 19% 18% 70th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 25% 24% 24% 62nd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 64% 73% 74% 14th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 5 · Rank 3,111 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 21st BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 7% 15% 14% 4th Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 1.71× 1.00× 1.00× 99th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 8% 21% 18% 5th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 9% 17% 16% 3rd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 11% 30% 27% 3rd BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 29 · Rank 2,232 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 86 87 126 29th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 51 · Rank 1,518 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 3.7× 3.9× 4.0× 33rd BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 20% 22% 21% 43rd HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 21.3 11.5 10.0 96th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 1% 2% 4% 20th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Housing Cost Burden 76
Weight 22.2% · Rank 548 of 3,144 · Pctile 76
Economic Vitality 51
Weight 9.2% · Rank 1,518 of 3,144 · Pctile 51
Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 40
Weight 47.5% · Rank 1,918 of 3,144 · Pctile 40
Legal Distress 29
Weight 7.4% · Rank 2,232 of 3,144 · Pctile 29
Structural Poverty 5
Weight 13.6% · Rank 3,111 of 3,144 · Pctile 5

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Wake County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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WAKE, N.C.. — Wake County ranks 1,990th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 43 out of 100 places Wake in the "Normal" zone, the highest-distress category on the index. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, only 1989 rank worse. Within North Carolina, Wake ranks 86th of 100 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in Wake. 5% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due — near the national median of 5%.

"Wake County sits at the national median, but the composition of its distress matters more than the composite score." said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Wake County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Wake County scores 43 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Normal zone. It ranks 1,990th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 86th of 100 North Carolina counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Wake County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 40. Auto loan delinquency ranks at the 53rd percentile nationally.

How does Wake County compare to its neighbors?

Wake County's neighbors span two CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Franklin County (63.90, Elevated). Lowest: Chatham County (31.59, Healthy).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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