Toole County, Montana
Above the national median for auto loan delinquency.
Main Findings
Toole County, Montana ranks 2,498th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. Toole sits near the national median across major distress indicators.
- 2,498th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Healthy zone, 29th in Montana.
- 7% of auto loan accounts are 60+ days past due (U.S. median 5%). Auto loan delinquency at the 77th percentile nationally.
- Rent-to-income ratio at 28% — national median 21%, ranked at the 92nd percentile.
- Household income relative to state at 0.88× — national median 1.00×, ranked at the 79th percentile.
- Homeownership rate at 65% — national median 74%, ranked at the 85th percentile.
"Toole County is one of the steadier counties on the index — durable fundamentals across most domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock can change the picture quickly."
"Healthy-zone counties have durable fundamentals across most distress domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock — health, housing, or income — can change the picture quickly."
The Indicators Behind Toole County's CDI Score
Every number traces to a public source. Toole County's value shown alongside MT's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.
| Indicator | Toole | MT median | U.S. median | Pctile | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 34 · Rank 2,126 of 3,144 | |||||
| Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections | 12% | 15% | 23% | 7th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections | 1% | 3% | 4% | 19th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due | 7% | 3% | 5% | 77th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage | 8% | 8% | 8% | 45th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 | 24% | 16% | 23% | 54th | Urban Institute (2024) |
| Housing Cost Burden — domain score 24 · Rank 2,650 of 3,144 | |||||
| Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent | 26% | 29% | 38% | 15th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent | 6% | 14% | 18% | 5th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing | 21% | 23% | 24% | 29th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied | 65% | 73% | 74% | 85th | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Structural Poverty — domain score 47 · Rank 1,713 of 3,144 | |||||
| Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed | 3% | 4% | 4% | 9th | BLS LAUS (Dec 2025) |
| Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line | 17% | 13% | 14% | 73rd | Census SAIPE (2023) |
| Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median | 0.88× | 1.00× | 1.00× | 79th | Census SAIPE (2023) |
| Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line | 16% | 17% | 18% | 42nd | Census SAIPE (2023) |
| Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability | 17% | 16% | 16% | 61st | Census ACS 5-yr (2023) |
| Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers | 18% | 25% | 27% | 14th | BEA Regional Personal Income (2023) |
| Legal Distress — domain score 5 · Rank 3,045 of 3,144 | |||||
| Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents | 20 | 73 | 126 | 5th | US Courts F-5A (2025) |
| Economic Vitality — domain score 68 · Rank 620 of 3,144 | |||||
| Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent | 3.8× | 3.2× | 4.0× | 62nd | BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024) |
| Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income | 28% | 26% | 21% | 92nd | HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024) |
| Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents | 11.5 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 36th | Census Business Formation Statistics (2024) |
| House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change | 0% | 2% | 4% | 85th | FHFA HPI (2024) |
Five-Domain Breakdown
The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.
Methodology
The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).
Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.
For Press & Research
Everything you need to cite Toole County data — in under 60 seconds.
Draft wire copy 149-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
SHELBY, Mont. — Toole County ranks 2,498th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.
The composite score of 35 out of 100 places Toole in the "Healthy" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 2,497 counties rank more distressed. Within Montana, Toole ranks 29th of 56 counties.
The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Toole sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.
"Toole County is one of the steadier counties on the index — durable fundamentals across most domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock can change the picture quickly," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.
Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.
Frequently Asked Questions
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