#2,026 Montana · 2026

Lincoln County, Montana

Normal 2,026th of 3,144 counties nationally · 21,895 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
14% Lincoln residents
vs.
8% U.S. median

Above the national median for uninsured rate.

Census ACS 5-yr (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 26 words · paste-ready

Lincoln County, Montana ranks 2,026th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. Lincoln sits near the national median across major distress indicators.

Key Findings
  • 2,026th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Normal zone, 15th in Montana.
  • 14% of residents lack health insurance (U.S. median 8%). Uninsured rate at the 86th percentile nationally.
  • Unemployment at 8% — national median 4%, ranked at the 97th percentile.
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 27% — national median 21%, ranked at the 89th percentile.
  • Owner housing burden at 29% — national median 24%, ranked at the 85th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI zones. The 24-point drop to Boundary County, ID marks a cross-border distress gradient.

County Distress Index cluster map. Lincoln County, Montana and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Lincoln and its 4 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Lincoln County ranks 2,026th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire quote — paste-ready, any angle 18 words

"Lincoln County sits at the national median. The composition of its distress matters more than the composite score."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 19 words

"Normal-zone counties are the national median. The interesting signal here is which domain is moving fastest, up or down."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

The Indicators Behind Lincoln County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Lincoln County's value shown alongside MT's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Lincoln County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Lincoln MT median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 28 · Rank 2,378 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 17% 15% 23% 29th Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 5% 3% 4% 60th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 2% 3% 5% 7th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 3% 3% 5% 13th Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 14% 8% 8% 86th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 15% 16% 23% 12th Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 52 · Rank 1,480 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 37% 29% 38% 47th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 19% 14% 18% 58th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 29% 23% 24% 85th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 79% 73% 74% 24th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 83 · Rank 287 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 8% 4% 4% 97th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 15% 13% 14% 63rd Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 0.87× 1.00× 1.00× 80th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 23% 17% 18% 73rd Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 24% 16% 16% 95th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 37% 25% 27% 88th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 17 · Rank 2,621 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 64 73 126 17th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 62 · Rank 872 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 3.4× 3.2× 4.0× 78th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 27% 26% 21% 89th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 17.2 14.0 10.0 9th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 12% 2% 4% 6th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Structural Poverty 83
Weight 13.6% · Rank 287 of 3,144 · Pctile 91
Economic Vitality 62
Weight 9.2% · Rank 872 of 3,144 · Pctile 72
Housing Cost Burden 52
Weight 22.2% · Rank 1,480 of 3,144 · Pctile 53
Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 28
Weight 47.5% · Rank 2,378 of 3,144 · Pctile 24
Legal Distress 17
Weight 7.4% · Rank 2,621 of 3,144 · Pctile 17

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Lincoln County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 136-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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LIBBY, Mont. — Lincoln County ranks 2,026th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 43 out of 100 places Lincoln in the "Normal" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 2,025 counties rank more distressed. Within Montana, Lincoln ranks 15th of 56 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Lincoln sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

"Lincoln County sits at the national median. The composition of its distress matters more than the composite score," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Lincoln County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Lincoln County scores 43 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Normal zone. It ranks 2,026th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 15th of 56 Montana counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Lincoln County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 28. Uninsured rate ranks at the 86th percentile nationally.

How does Lincoln County compare to its neighbors?

Lincoln County's neighbors span three CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Sanders County (50.15, Elevated). Lowest: Boundary County, ID (25.92, Healthy).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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