#2,070 Montana · 2026

Hill County, Montana

41.3 · moderate-low county distress 2,070th of 3,144 counties nationally · 16,276 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
30% Hill residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Above the national median for rent-to-income ratio — and 2.5× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Steele County, ND — 12%).

HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 34 words · paste-ready

Hill County, Montana ranks 2,070th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. Hill sits near the national median across major distress indicators. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 2,070th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 41.3 · moderate-low county distress, 16th in Montana.
  • A rent-to-income ratio of 30% (U.S. median 21%). Rent-to-income ratio at the 95th percentile nationally. Source: HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Poverty rate at 19% — national median 14%, ranked at the 82nd percentile. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Subprime credit share at 24% — national median 23%, ranked at the 54th percentile. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025).
  • Default & Legal domain score 28 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI score labels. The 19-point drop to Liberty County marks where the Montana distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Hill County, Montana and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Hill and its 3 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Hill County ranks 2,070th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 18 words

Hill County has a moderate-low county distress score. The state rank and domain mix give the county-level context.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 33 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate-low county distress label. The state rank and highest-scoring local domain add context that the composite alone cannot carry. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Disability rate sits well below the rest of the Safety Net & Buffer domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

According to U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023), Hill County's disability rate indicator is at the 14th percentile. American Default Research's CDI places every other indicator in the Safety Net & Buffer domain at or above the 55th percentile. The gap stands out against the other credit indicators. Worth a call to the source agency or a local subject-matter contact in Havre.

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.2% -2.3 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

14.8% -3.0 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

25.1% +16.4 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

24.3% -6.3 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Hill County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Hill County's value shown alongside MT's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Hill County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Hill MT median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 37 · Rank 2,017 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 3% 3% 5% 14th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 3% 5% 43rd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 24% 16% 23% 54th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 28 · Rank 2,483 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 23% 15% 23% 49th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 43 73 126 7th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 66 · Rank 892 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 30% 26% 21% 95th HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 16% 14% 18% 36th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 16 · Rank 2,606 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 3% 3% 4% 16th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 61 · Rank 1,158 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 22% 17% 18% 69th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 12% 16% 16% 14th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 19% 13% 14% 82nd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 9% 8% 8% 55th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 66
Weight 20% · Rank 892 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 61
Weight 20% · Rank 1,158 of 3,144
Delinquency 37
Weight 20% · Rank 2,017 of 3,144
Default & Legal 28
Weight 20% · Rank 2,483 of 3,144
Labor 16
Weight 20% · Rank 2,606 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Hill County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
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HAVRE, Mont. — Hill County ranks 2,070th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 41.3 out of 100 gives Hill a moderate-low county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 2,069 counties rank more distressed. Within Montana, Hill ranks 16th of 56 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Hill sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Hill County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Hill County scores 41.3 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label moderate-low county distress. It ranks 2,070th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 16th of 56 Montana counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Hill County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 66. Rent-to-income ratio ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Hill County compare to its neighbors?

Hill County's neighbors span three CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Blaine County (42.20, moderate-low county distress). Lowest: Liberty County (23.11, low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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