#2,276 Montana · 2026

Cascade County, Montana

37.4 · low-moderate county distress 2,276th of 3,144 counties nationally · 84,900 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
24% Cascade residents
vs.
21% U.S. median

Near the national median for rent-to-income ratio — and 2.0× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Steele County, ND — 12%).

HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 34 words · paste-ready

Cascade County, Montana ranks 2,276th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. Cascade sits near the national median across major distress indicators. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

Key Findings
  • 2,276th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 37.4 · low-moderate county distress, 19th in Montana.
  • A rent-to-income ratio of 24% (U.S. median 21%). Rent-to-income ratio at the 72nd percentile nationally. Source: HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Safety Net & Buffer domain score 38 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
  • Default & Legal domain score 38 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
  • Delinquency domain score 32 — weight 20.0% of the CDI composite. Source: American Default Research.
County Distress Index cluster map. Cascade County, Montana and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Cascade and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Cascade County ranks 2,276th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 20 words

Cascade County has a low-moderate county distress score. The CDI reading is a county comparison, separate from national ADI bands.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 35 words

The CDI gives this county a low-moderate county distress label. The label comes from the score, while the rank compares the county with the current national cross-section. Its highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis).

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.3% -2.2 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

11.6% -0.9 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

21.9% +14.6 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

19.2% -5.8 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Cascade County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Cascade County's value shown alongside MT's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Cascade County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Cascade MT median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 32 · Rank 2,167 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 4% 3% 5% 35th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 4% 3% 5% 31st Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 19% 16% 23% 31st Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 38 · Rank 2,108 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 21% 15% 23% 42nd Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 94 73 126 33rd Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 60 · Rank 1,109 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 24% 26% 21% 72nd HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 18% 14% 18% 49th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 19 · Rank 2,493 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 3% 3% 4% 19th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 38 · Rank 2,070 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 13% 17% 18% 23rd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 16% 16% 16% 49th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 12% 13% 14% 38th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 7% 8% 8% 37th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Debt Burden (housing basis) Primary driver 60
Weight 20% · Rank 1,109 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 38
Weight 20% · Rank 2,070 of 3,144
Default & Legal 38
Weight 20% · Rank 2,108 of 3,144
Delinquency 32
Weight 20% · Rank 2,167 of 3,144
Labor 19
Weight 20% · Rank 2,493 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Cascade County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 125-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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GREAT FALLS, Mont. — Cascade County ranks 2,276th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 37.4 out of 100 gives Cascade a low-moderate county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 2,275 counties rank more distressed. Within Montana, Cascade ranks 19th of 56 counties.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds Cascade sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Cascade County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Cascade County scores 37.4 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label low-moderate county distress. It ranks 2,276th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 19th of 56 Montana counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Cascade County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Debt Burden (housing basis), at a domain score of 60. Rent-to-income ratio ranks at the 72nd percentile nationally.

How does Cascade County compare to its neighbors?

Cascade County's neighbors span two CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Chouteau County (32.38, low-moderate county distress). Lowest: Teton County (20.22, low county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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