#407 Top 500 Most Distressed Counties · 2026

Clay County, Georgia

Serious 407th of 3,144 counties nationally · 2,853 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
40% Clay residents
vs.
23% U.S. median

Above the national median for subprime credit share.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 34 words · paste-ready

Clay County, Georgia ranks 407th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 40% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — above the national median of 23%.

Key Findings
  • 407th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Serious zone, 77th in Georgia.
  • 40% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) (U.S. median 23%). Subprime credit share at the 95th percentile nationally.
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 456 — national median 126, ranked at the 95th percentile.
  • Poverty rate at 26% — national median 14%, ranked at the 95th percentile.
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 31% — national median 21%, ranked at the 95th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI zones. The 27-point drop to Henry County, AL marks a cross-border distress gradient.

County Distress Index cluster map. Clay County, Georgia and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Clay and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Clay County ranks 407th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire quote — paste-ready, any angle 33 words

"The distress in Clay County reads as a credit story — household balance sheets carrying debt that's grown faster than incomes can absorb. Housing pressure compounds it; job loss is rarely the trigger."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 30 words

"Serious-zone counties are where consumer credit distress accumulates while the labor market still reads stable. The cost curve — housing, health, financing — runs faster than wage growth can absorb."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Business formation rate sits well below the rest of the Economic Vitality domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Clay County's business formation rate indicator is at the 5th percentile — while every other indicator in the Economic Vitality domain sits at or above the 59th percentile. The gap stands out against rent-to-income ratio. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Fort Gaines.

Reporting hook
Child poverty at 39% — 2.2× the national median

39% of children under 18 in Clay County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

The Indicators Behind Clay County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Clay County's value shown alongside GA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Clay County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Clay GA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 82 · Rank 382 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 38% 36% 23% 91st Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 7% 10% 4% 79th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 8% 8% 5% 80th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 8% 8% 5% 82nd Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 7% 13% 8% 39th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 40% 36% 23% 95th Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 20 · Rank 2,787 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 29% 39% 38% 21st Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 5% 19% 18% 5th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 24% 24% 24% 47th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 77% 71% 74% 36th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 92 · Rank 66 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 6% 4% 4% 87th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 26% 18% 14% 95th Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 0.69× 1.00× 1.00× 95th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 39% 26% 18% 95th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 20% 16% 16% 82nd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 47% 30% 27% 95th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 95 · Rank 128 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 456 255 126 95th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 69 · Rank 558 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 3.3× 3.6× 4.0× 80th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 31% 24% 21% 95th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 20.7 13.8 10.0 5th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 3% 3% 4% 59th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Legal Distress 95
Weight 7.4% · Rank 128 of 3,144 · Pctile 96
Structural Poverty 92
Weight 13.6% · Rank 66 of 3,144 · Pctile 98
Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 82
Weight 47.5% · Rank 382 of 3,144 · Pctile 88
Economic Vitality 69
Weight 9.2% · Rank 558 of 3,144 · Pctile 82
Housing Cost Burden 20
Weight 22.2% · Rank 2,787 of 3,144 · Pctile 11

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Clay County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 158-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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FORT GAINES, Ga. — Clay County ranks 407th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 70 out of 100 places Clay in the "Serious" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 406 counties rank more distressed. Within Georgia, Clay ranks 77th of 159 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in Clay. 40% of residents carry subprime credit (score below 660) — above the national median of 23%.

"The distress in Clay County reads as a credit story — household balance sheets carrying debt that's grown faster than incomes can absorb. Housing pressure compounds it; job loss is rarely the trigger," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Clay County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Clay County scores 70 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Serious zone. It ranks 407th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 77th of 159 Georgia counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Clay County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 82. Subprime credit share ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Clay County compare to its neighbors?

Clay County's neighbors span three CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Randolph County (84.64, Crisis). Lowest: Henry County, AL (57.97, Elevated).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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