#234 Top 500 Most Distressed Counties · 2026

Orange County, Florida

Serious 234th of 3,144 counties nationally · 1,471,416 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
8% Orange residents
vs.
5% U.S. median

Above the national median for credit card delinquency.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

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Orange County, Florida ranks 234th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 8% of credit card accounts are 60+ days past due — above the national median of 5%.

Key Findings
  • 234th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Serious zone, 13th in Florida.
  • 8% of credit card accounts are 60+ days past due (U.S. median 5%). Credit card delinquency at the 81st percentile nationally.
  • Rent burden (30%+) at 55% — national median 38%, ranked at the 99th percentile.
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 30% — national median 21%, ranked at the 96th percentile.
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 199 — national median 126, ranked at the 74th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span two CDI zones. The 18-point drop to Brevard County marks where the Central Florida distress corridor ends.

Stalled Formation

Mid-size city of 1,471,416 residents, with a business application rate at the 1st percentile. Entrepreneurship has largely stopped.

County Distress Index cluster map. Orange County, Florida and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Orange and its 4 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Orange County ranks 234th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"The distress in Orange County is the everyday kind: a household balance sheet bending under housing and health costs, not collapsing under job loss."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 27 words

"Serious-zone counties are where the cost curve is accelerating faster than wages can keep up. The distress reads like a housing story first, a credit story second."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Business formation rate sits near the national median — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Orange County's business formation rate indicator is at the 1st percentile — while every other indicator in the Economic Vitality domain is above the 67th. The gap stands out against wage-to-rent ratio and rent-to-income ratio. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Orange County.

The Indicators Behind Orange County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Orange County's value shown alongside FL's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Orange County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Orange FL median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 76 · Rank 591 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 29% 28% 23% 71st Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 6% 4% 4% 71st Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 7% 6% 5% 77th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 8% 7% 5% 81st Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 12% 12% 8% 78th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 32% 29% 23% 81st Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 95 · Rank 33 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 55% 50% 38% 99th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 27% 25% 18% 94th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 30% 26% 24% 90th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 57% 75% 74% 5th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 27 · Rank 2,491 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 5% 6% 4% 60th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 12% 14% 14% 41st Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 1.18× 1.00× 1.00× 80th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 15% 19% 18% 36th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 11% 17% 16% 11th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 17% 27% 27% 13th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 74 · Rank 805 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 199 138 126 74th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 76 · Rank 285 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 2.9× 3.1× 4.0× 9th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 30% 27% 21% 96th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 32.7 17.3 10.0 99th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 1% 0% 4% 18th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Housing Cost Burden 95
Weight 22.2% · Rank 33 of 3,144 · Pctile 95
Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 76
Weight 47.5% · Rank 591 of 3,144 · Pctile 76
Economic Vitality 76
Weight 9.2% · Rank 285 of 3,144 · Pctile 76
Legal Distress 74
Weight 7.4% · Rank 805 of 3,144 · Pctile 74
Structural Poverty 27
Weight 13.6% · Rank 2,491 of 3,144 · Pctile 27

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Orange County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 154-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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ORANGE, Fla.. — Orange County ranks 234th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 74 out of 100 places Orange in the "Serious" zone, the highest-distress category on the index. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, only 233 rank worse. Within Florida, Orange ranks 13th of 67 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in Orange. 8% of credit card accounts are 60+ days past due — above the national median of 5%.

"The distress in Orange County is the everyday kind: a household balance sheet bending under housing and health costs, not collapsing under job loss." said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Orange County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Orange County scores 74 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Serious zone. It ranks 234th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 13th of 67 Florida counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Orange County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 76. Credit card delinquency ranks at the 81st percentile nationally.

How does Orange County compare to its neighbors?

Orange County's neighbors span two CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Osceola County (79.02, Serious). Lowest: Brevard County (60.86, Elevated).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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