#833 Colorado · 2026

Otero County, Colorado

Elevated 833rd of 3,144 counties nationally · 18,136 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
7% Otero residents
vs.
5% U.S. median

Above the national median for credit card delinquency.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

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Otero County, Colorado ranks 833rd most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 7% of credit card accounts are 60+ days past due — above the national median of 5%.

Key Findings
  • 833rd of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Elevated zone, 4th in Colorado.
  • 7% of credit card accounts are 60+ days past due (U.S. median 5%). Credit card delinquency at the 72nd percentile nationally.
  • Household income relative to state at 0.71× — national median 1.00×, ranked at the 95th percentile.
  • Rent burden (30%+) at 45% — national median 38%, ranked at the 81st percentile.
  • House price change (yoy) at 0% — national median 4%, ranked at the 84th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI zones. The 29-point drop to Kiowa County marks where the Colorado distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Otero County, Colorado and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Otero and its 5 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Otero County ranks 833rd of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Otero County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 24 words

"Elevated-zone counties are the largest block in the index. Most Americans live in counties scoring 55–70 — middle-class households doing the math every month."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Medical debt in collections sits well below the rest of the Consumer Credit Distress domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Otero County's medical debt in collections indicator is at the 7th percentile — while every other indicator in the Consumer Credit Distress domain sits at or above the 41st percentile. The gap stands out against the other credit indicators. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in La Junta.

Reporting hook
Child poverty at 27% — 1.5× the national median

27% of children under 18 in Otero County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

The Indicators Behind Otero County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Otero County's value shown alongside CO's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Otero County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Otero CO median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 51 · Rank 1,514 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 25% 15% 23% 57th Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 0% 0% 4% 7th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 5% 3% 5% 44th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 4% 5% 72nd Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 7% 8% 8% 41st Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 28% 19% 23% 67th Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 76 · Rank 531 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 45% 44% 38% 81st Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 22% 20% 18% 74th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 26% 28% 24% 70th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 69% 72% 74% 74th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 86 · Rank 197 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 6% 4% 4% 83rd BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 20% 11% 14% 86th Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 0.71× 1.00× 1.00× 95th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 27% 16% 18% 85th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 18% 12% 16% 66th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 40% 22% 27% 94th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 50 · Rank 1,562 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 127 113 126 50th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 55 · Rank 1,279 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 4.0× 3.4× 4.0× 52nd BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 22% 23% 21% 62nd HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 11.7 19.1 10.0 34th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 0% 1% 4% 84th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Structural Poverty 86
Weight 13.6% · Rank 197 of 3,144 · Pctile 94
Housing Cost Burden 76
Weight 22.2% · Rank 531 of 3,144 · Pctile 83
Economic Vitality 55
Weight 9.2% · Rank 1,279 of 3,144 · Pctile 59
Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 51
Weight 47.5% · Rank 1,514 of 3,144 · Pctile 52
Legal Distress 50
Weight 7.4% · Rank 1,562 of 3,144 · Pctile 50

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Otero County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 152-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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LA JUNTA, Colo. — Otero County ranks 833rd among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 62 out of 100 places Otero in the "Elevated" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 832 counties rank more distressed. Within Colorado, Otero ranks fourth of 64 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in Otero. 7% of credit card accounts are 60+ days past due — above the national median of 5%.

"Otero County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Otero County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Otero County scores 62 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Elevated zone. It ranks 833rd of 3,144 U.S. counties and 4th of 64 Colorado counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Otero County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 51. Credit card delinquency ranks at the 72nd percentile nationally.

How does Otero County compare to its neighbors?

Otero County's neighbors span three CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Pueblo County (67.71, Serious). Lowest: Kiowa County (38.42, Normal).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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