#1,421 Colorado · 2026

Arapahoe County, Colorado

Elevated 1,421st of 3,144 counties nationally · 656,061 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
53% Arapahoe residents
vs.
38% U.S. median

Above the national median for rent burden (30%+).

Census ACS 5-yr (2023)

Main Findings

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Arapahoe County, Colorado ranks 1,421st most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 53% of renter households pay 30%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 38%.

Key Findings
  • 1,421st of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Elevated zone, 12th in Colorado.
  • 53% of renter households pay 30%+ of income on rent (U.S. median 38%). Rent burden (30%+) at the 97th percentile nationally.
  • House price change (yoy) at 0% — national median 4%, ranked at the 88th percentile.
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 167 — national median 126, ranked at the 66th percentile.
  • Uninsured rate at 9% — national median 8%, ranked at the 58th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI zones. The 34-point drop to Elbert County marks where the Colorado distress corridor ends.

County Distress Index cluster map. Arapahoe County, Colorado and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Arapahoe and its 7 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Arapahoe County ranks 1,421st of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Arapahoe County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 24 words

"Elevated-zone counties are the largest block in the index. Most Americans live in counties scoring 55–70 — middle-class households doing the math every month."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Business formation rate sits well below the rest of the Economic Vitality domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Arapahoe County's business formation rate indicator is at the 1st percentile — while every other indicator in the Economic Vitality domain sits at or above the 77th percentile. The gap stands out against house price change (YoY). Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Littleton.

The Indicators Behind Arapahoe County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Arapahoe County's value shown alongside CO's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Arapahoe County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Arapahoe CO median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 40 · Rank 1,914 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 19% 15% 23% 36th Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 0% 0% 4% 7th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 5% 3% 5% 43rd Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 6% 4% 5% 54th Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 9% 8% 8% 58th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 22% 19% 23% 46th Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 92 · Rank 84 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 53% 44% 38% 97th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 26% 20% 18% 90th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 31% 28% 24% 93rd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 65% 72% 74% 84th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 16 · Rank 2,879 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 4% 4% 43rd BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 10% 11% 14% 21st Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 1.34× 1.00× 1.00× 9th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 13% 16% 18% 26th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 11% 12% 16% 8th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 13% 22% 27% 4th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 66 · Rank 1,083 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 167 113 126 66th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 66 · Rank 690 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 3.4× 3.4× 4.0× 77th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 26% 23% 21% 83rd HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 25.0 19.1 10.0 1st Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 0% 1% 4% 88th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Housing Cost Burden Primary driver 92
Weight 22.2% · Rank 84 of 3,144 · Pctile 97
Economic Vitality 66
Weight 9.2% · Rank 690 of 3,144 · Pctile 78
Legal Distress 66
Weight 7.4% · Rank 1,083 of 3,144 · Pctile 66
Consumer Credit Distress 40
Weight 47.5% · Rank 1,914 of 3,144 · Pctile 39
Structural Poverty 16
Weight 13.6% · Rank 2,879 of 3,144 · Pctile 8

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Arapahoe County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 151-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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LITTLETON, Colo. — Arapahoe County ranks 1,421st among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 53 out of 100 places Arapahoe in the "Elevated" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,420 counties rank more distressed. Within Colorado, Arapahoe ranks 12th of 64 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies housing cost burden as the primary driver in Arapahoe. 53% of renter households pay 30%+ of income on rent — above the national median of 38%.

"Arapahoe County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Arapahoe County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Arapahoe County scores 53 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Elevated zone. It ranks 1,421st of 3,144 U.S. counties and 12th of 64 Colorado counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Arapahoe County's distress score?

The primary driver is Housing Cost Burden, at a domain score of 92. Rent burden (30%+) ranks at the 97th percentile nationally.

How does Arapahoe County compare to its neighbors?

Arapahoe County's neighbors span three CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Adams County (60.32, Elevated). Lowest: Elbert County (26.57, Healthy).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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