#2,958 California · 2026

San Francisco County, California

Healthy 2,958th of 3,144 counties nationally · 808,988 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
38% San Francisco residents
vs.
74% U.S. median

Below the national median for homeownership rate.

Census ACS 5-yr (2023)

Main Findings

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San Francisco County, California ranks 2,958th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. San Francisco sits near the national median across major distress indicators.

Key Findings
  • 2,958th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Healthy zone, 58th in California.
  • 38% of occupied housing is owner-occupied (bottom percentile nationally) (U.S. median 74%). Homeownership rate at the 99th percentile nationally.
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 34% — national median 21%, ranked at the 99th percentile.
  • Legal Distress domain score 15 — weight 7.4% of the CDI composite.
  • Structural Poverty domain score 14 — weight 13.6% of the CDI composite.
County Distress Index cluster map. San Francisco County, California and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
San Francisco and its 3 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. San Francisco County ranks 2,958th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"San Francisco County is one of the steadier counties on the index — durable fundamentals across most domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock can change the picture quickly."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 29 words

"Healthy-zone counties have durable fundamentals across most distress domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock — health, housing, or income — can change the picture quickly."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Business formation rate sits well below the rest of the Economic Vitality domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

San Francisco County's business formation rate indicator is at the 3rd percentile — while every other indicator in the Economic Vitality domain sits at or above the 49th percentile. The gap stands out against rent-to-income ratio. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in San Francisco.

The Indicators Behind San Francisco County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. San Francisco County's value shown alongside CA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is San Francisco County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator San Francisco CA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 8 · Rank 3,102 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 9% 18% 23% 3rd Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 0% 0% 4% 7th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 4% 4% 5% 26th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 2% 5% 5% 6th Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 4% 6% 8% 4th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 12% 20% 23% 4th Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 58 · Rank 1,225 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 36% 49% 38% 44th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 18% 25% 18% 49th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 29% 31% 24% 83rd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 38% 63% 74% 99th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 14 · Rank 2,942 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 4% 6% 4% 32nd BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 12% 13% 14% 37th Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 1.55× 1.00× 1.00× 3rd Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 11% 16% 18% 14th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 11% 13% 16% 11th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 9% 24% 27% 1st BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 15 · Rank 2,660 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 61 119 126 15th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 58 · Rank 1,110 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 4.0× 3.0× 4.0× 49th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 34% 27% 21% 99th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 23.1 8.5 10.0 3rd Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 0% 1% 4% 84th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Housing Cost Burden Primary driver 58
Weight 22.2% · Rank 1,225 of 3,144 · Pctile 61
Economic Vitality 58
Weight 9.2% · Rank 1,110 of 3,144 · Pctile 65
Legal Distress 15
Weight 7.4% · Rank 2,660 of 3,144 · Pctile 15
Structural Poverty 14
Weight 13.6% · Rank 2,942 of 3,144 · Pctile 6
Consumer Credit Distress 8
Weight 47.5% · Rank 3,102 of 3,144 · Pctile 1

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite San Francisco County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 155-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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SAN FRANCISCO, Calif. — San Francisco County ranks 2,958th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 25 out of 100 places San Francisco in the "Healthy" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 2,957 counties rank more distressed. Within California, San Francisco ranks 58th of 58 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, finds San Francisco sitting near the national median across major distress indicators, with no single domain emerging as a clear driver.

"San Francisco County is one of the steadier counties on the index — durable fundamentals across most domains. The risk pattern here is asymmetric: a single shock can change the picture quickly," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is San Francisco County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

San Francisco County scores 25 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Healthy zone. It ranks 2,958th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 58th of 58 California counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives San Francisco County's distress score?

The primary driver is Housing Cost Burden, at a domain score of 58. Homeownership rate ranks at the 99th percentile nationally.

How does San Francisco County compare to its neighbors?

San Francisco County's neighbors span two CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Alameda County (38.98, Normal). Lowest: San Mateo County (29.46, Healthy).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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