#936 California · 2026

Modoc County, California

Second-most distressed fifth 936th of 3,144 counties nationally · 8,500 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
7% Modoc residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

Above the national median for unemployment — and 23.3× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (Loving County, TX — 0%).

BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)

Main Findings

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Modoc County, California ranks 936th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 7% of the labor force is unemployed — above the national median of 4%.

Key Findings
  • 936th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Second-most distressed fifth, 22nd in California.
  • 7% of the labor force is unemployed (U.S. median 4%). Unemployment at the 95th percentile nationally.
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 26% — national median 21%, ranked at the 83rd percentile.
  • Transfer-income dependency at 37% — national median 27%, ranked at the 89th percentile.
  • Debt in collections at 24% — national median 23%, ranked at the 53rd percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. The 21-point drop to Washoe County, NV marks a cross-border distress gradient.

County Distress Index cluster map. Modoc County, California and its neighbors colored by distress fifth.
Modoc and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Modoc County ranks 936th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Modoc County ranks in the second-most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The score is above the national county midpoint, with the domain table showing the local pressure mix."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for feature use 30 words

"The CDI places this county in the second-most distressed fifth nationally. The county sits above the median distress position, with the five-domain profile showing which local pressures carry the score."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Reporting hook
Child poverty at 28% — 1.6× the national median

28% of children under 18 in Modoc County live below the federal poverty line, versus 18% nationally. When a county's adult poverty rate is accompanied by a materially higher child poverty rate, the gap typically reflects single-parent household concentration or limited access to workforce-participation supports (childcare, transportation). Worth a call to the local school district's free-and-reduced-lunch coordinator or a regional United Way affiliate.

The Indicators Behind Modoc County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Modoc County's value shown alongside CA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Modoc County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Modoc CA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 24 · Rank 2,445 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 2% 4% 5% 6th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 4% 5% 5% 30th Urban Institute (2024)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 21% 20% 23% 37th Urban Institute (2024)
Default & Legal — domain score 34 · Rank 2,263 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 24% 18% 23% 53rd Urban Institute (2024)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 59 119 126 14th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 78 · Rank 448 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 26% 27% 21% 83rd HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 22% 25% 18% 74th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Labor — domain score 95 · Rank 81 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 7% 5% 4% 95th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 75 · Rank 601 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 28% 16% 18% 87th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 19% 13% 16% 75th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 20% 13% 14% 86th Census SAIPE (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 37% 24% 27% 89th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 10% 6% 8% 63rd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Labor Primary driver 95
Weight 20% · Rank 81 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 78
Weight 20% · Rank 448 of 3,144
Safety Net & Buffer 75
Weight 20% · Rank 601 of 3,144
Default & Legal 34
Weight 20% · Rank 2,263 of 3,144
Delinquency 24
Weight 20% · Rank 2,445 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Modoc County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 150-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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ALTURAS, Calif. — Modoc County ranks 936th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 61 out of 100 places Modoc in the second-most distressed fifth. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 935 counties rank more distressed. Within California, Modoc ranks 22nd of 58 counties.

The index, which draws on 16 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies labor as the primary driver in Modoc. 7% of the labor force is unemployed — above the national median of 4%.

"Modoc County ranks in the second-most distressed fifth of U.S. counties. The score is above the national county midpoint, with the domain table showing the local pressure mix," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Modoc County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Modoc County scores 61 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the second-most distressed fifth. It ranks 936th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 22nd of 58 California counties. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Modoc County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Labor, at a domain score of 95. Unemployment ranks at the 95th percentile nationally.

How does Modoc County compare to its neighbors?

Modoc County's neighbors span three CDI distress fifths. Highest-distress neighbor: Klamath County, OR (76.27, Most distressed fifth). Lowest: Washoe County, NV (55.48, Middle fifth).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 16 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

Read more
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