#1,345 Arkansas · 2026

Baxter County, Arkansas

Elevated 1,345th of 3,144 counties nationally · 42,875 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
10% Baxter residents
vs.
4% U.S. median

More than double the national median of residents with medical debt in collections.

Urban Institute (2024)

Main Findings

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Baxter County, Arkansas ranks 1,345th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 10% of residents with a credit file carry medical debt in collections — more than double the national median of 4%.

Key Findings
  • 1,345th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Elevated zone, 60th in Arkansas.
  • 10% of residents with a credit file carry medical debt in collections (U.S. median 4%). Medical debt in collections at the 88th percentile nationally.
  • Disability rate at 26% — national median 16%, ranked at the 97th percentile.
  • Owner housing burden at 27% — national median 24%, ranked at the 75th percentile.
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 24% — national median 21%, ranked at the 72nd percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span two CDI zones. The 17-point drop to Ozark County, MO marks a cross-border distress gradient.

County Distress Index cluster map. Baxter County, Arkansas and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
Baxter and its 6 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Baxter County ranks 1,345th of 3,144. American Default Research
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"Baxter County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 24 words

"Elevated-zone counties are the largest block in the index. Most Americans live in counties scoring 55–70 — middle-class households doing the math every month."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

Reporter's Notes

Two data points in the indicator table worth a follow-up call.

Data anomaly
Business formation rate sits well below the rest of the Economic Vitality domain — the one indicator that doesn't fit

Baxter County's business formation rate indicator is at the 6th percentile — while every other indicator in the Economic Vitality domain sits at or above the 56th percentile. The gap stands out against the other credit indicators. Worth a call to Urban Institute or a local credit counselor in Mountain Home.

The Indicators Behind Baxter County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Baxter County's value shown alongside AR's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is Baxter County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Baxter AR median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 48 · Rank 1,639 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 23% 32% 23% 51st Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 10% 7% 4% 88th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 5% 7% 5% 48th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 8% 5% 34th Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 7% 8% 8% 42nd Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 19% 31% 23% 31st Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 61 · Rank 1,079 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 42% 37% 38% 69th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 19% 17% 18% 55th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 27% 21% 24% 75th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 75% 71% 74% 47th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 74 · Rank 599 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 5% 5% 4% 60th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 16% 18% 14% 68th Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 0.97× 1.00× 1.00× 58th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 21% 24% 18% 63rd Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 26% 22% 16% 97th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 39% 34% 27% 92nd BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 39 · Rank 1,928 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 105 214 126 39th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 52 · Rank 1,435 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 3.9× 4.1× 4.0× 56th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 24% 22% 21% 72nd HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 19.1 9.2 10.0 6th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 3% 3% 4% 61st FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Structural Poverty 74
Weight 13.6% · Rank 599 of 3,144 · Pctile 81
Housing Cost Burden 61
Weight 22.2% · Rank 1,079 of 3,144 · Pctile 66
Economic Vitality 52
Weight 9.2% · Rank 1,435 of 3,144 · Pctile 54
Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 48
Weight 47.5% · Rank 1,639 of 3,144 · Pctile 48
Legal Distress 39
Weight 7.4% · Rank 1,928 of 3,144 · Pctile 39

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Baxter County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 156-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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MOUNTAIN HOME, Ark. — Baxter County ranks 1,345th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 54 out of 100 places Baxter in the "Elevated" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,344 counties rank more distressed. Within Arkansas, Baxter ranks 60th of 75 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in Baxter. 10% of residents with a credit file carry medical debt in collections — more than double the national median of 4%.

"Baxter County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Baxter County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Baxter County scores 54 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Elevated zone. It ranks 1,345th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 60th of 75 Arkansas counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives Baxter County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 48. Medical debt in collections ranks at the 88th percentile nationally.

How does Baxter County compare to its neighbors?

Baxter County's neighbors span two CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Fulton County (59.42, Elevated). Lowest: Ozark County, MO (42.09, Normal).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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