Crisis#8Full CDI scorecard for Dougherty County

The Passage

Dougherty County, Georgia

Old Mt. Zion Baptist Church in Albany, Georgia — the brick sanctuary where the Albany Movement's mass meetings were held and where Pastor Daniel Simmons ministers today.
Old Mt. Zion Baptist Church, Albany. The Albany Movement's mass meetings were held inside this building in 1961-62; Pastor Daniel Simmons ministers here now.Michael Rivera / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0)

In 1903, W.E.B. Du Bois wrote a single sentence about Dougherty County — a pall of debt, a cascade from merchants to tenants to laborers. In 2026, the County Distress Index scores Dougherty's Consumer Credit Distress domain at 90.81, with three of its indicators at the 99th percentile. The passage hasn't ended.

A sentence on one desk, a scorecard on the other

Pastor Daniel Simmons ministers at Old Mt. Zion Baptist Church in Albany, the brick sanctuary where the Albany Movement held its mass meetings sixty-five years ago and where Bernice Johnson — later Bernice Johnson Reagon — and others who would form the Freedom Singers first sang the a cappella freedom songs that would become the national civil rights soundtrack. He told ProPublica’s reporting team in December of last year that the condition he sees around him was not inevitable. “It didn’t have to be this way,” he said. The health system could have been different. The city could have been different. The outcome would have been different.

I have been reading Simmons’s line against another sentence, written about the same county a hundred and twenty-three years earlier.

The passage

In 1903, W.E.B. Du Bois rode through Dougherty County in a Jim Crow car and devoted two chapters of The Souls of Black Folk — “Of the Black Belt” and “Of the Quest of the Golden Fleece” — to what he saw. In the middle of Chapter 7 he set down this sentence: “A pall of debt hangs over the beautiful land; the merchants are in debt to the wholesalers, the planters are in debt to the merchants, the tenants owe the planters, and laborers bow and bend beneath the burden of it all.”

That is not a general observation about the South. He named the county.

In 2026, the American Default Research County Distress Index scores Dougherty’s Consumer Credit Distress domain at 90.81 — debt in collections at the 99th percentile nationally, credit card delinquency at the 99th percentile, subprime credit share at the 99th percentile. Rank 7 of 3,144 counties scored.

The instruments changed. The cascade did not. What Du Bois wrote about as ledger debt to the cotton merchant now runs through credit bureaus, hospital billing departments, third-party collectors, and wage garnishment files. The sentence is still describing ground.

The current chain, and the modern merchant

Walk the 2026 chain the way Du Bois walked the 1903 one. A household in Albany gets a bill from the hospital it did not choose. About 16% of Albany residents are uninsured — almost double the national rate, in a state that has not expanded Medicaid. Phoebe Putney Memorial, licensed for 691 beds and southwest Georgia’s largest employer with more than 5,500 workers as of 2024 (ProPublica, Part 1), processes the bill. If the household cannot pay, the bill moves to collections. Phoebe’s bad debt grew from $16.5 million in 2012 to more than $121 million by 2018 (ProPublica, Part 3). The debt moves to a bureau. The credit score falls. The subprime auto loan carries a higher rate. The credit card goes delinquent. The collector sues. The household files.

ProPublica’s December 2025 series named the structure directly. Albany, they wrote, is one of a growing number of places whose survival is hitched to the fates of oligopoly health systems the way towns in West Virginia and Kentucky once were to coal. “They’ve become hospital towns.”

The merchant in Du Bois’s sentence is not gone. It has a 691-bed footprint.

One note the data does not explain. Dougherty’s medical debt indicator sits at the 53rd percentile — median for U.S. counties — while every other credit indicator in the domain is 96th percentile or higher and the uninsured rate is 85th. In a non-expansion state with a dominant hospital system, you would expect medical debt to show up higher in the credit file than it does here. I cannot fully account for that gap. It may be how the tracer captures medical collections versus how Phoebe carries patient balances on its own books.

The city that cannot own and cannot rent

Dougherty’s population was 85,790 in the 2020 census and has since drifted down to an estimated 82,645. Albany is the regional hub for southwest Georgia, not a rural outpost. And yet the county’s Housing Cost Burden domain scores 90.59, driven by a renter-dominant population where homeownership rank is at the 99th percentile for how low it is and where renters paying 50% or more of income for housing sit at the 97th. Owners carrying a 30%+ burden are near the national median.

Two economies, one address.

The 650-plus homeless student count in the district this January is the housing story in its most direct form. The Emergency Housing Vouchers that more than 300 Dougherty families rely on sunset on June 30, 2026. The Legal Distress domain — bankruptcy filing rate — ranks 53 of 3,144 counties. Ninety-eighth percentile. Households are reaching legal remedy at near-maximum frequency.

And the county’s economy is not starting over. Business application rate sits at the 4th percentile nationally. In a mid-size regional hub of 82,000-plus, that is its own category — not a small town with no entrepreneurs but a city where entrepreneurship has largely stopped happening.

What the record says, and what the ground does

Albany is a place where the institutional record and the ground condition have a long history of disagreeing. The Albany Movement of 1961-62 was, by the national press’s count, a failure — Chief Laurie Pritchett studied King’s tactics in advance, arrested protesters without spectacle, and denied the campaign its Birmingham moment. The music that came out of Mt. Zion won. The legal campaign, locally, didn’t. Fifty years later, the FTC took the Phoebe merger to the Supreme Court and won unanimously, but the merger had already closed — Phoebe had paid HCA $195 million in 2011 for the only competing hospital and renamed it Phoebe North before the ruling arrived (ProPublica, Part 2). The paper outcome and the hospital outcome ran opposite.

Now the record is stirring again. Terron Hayes was sworn in on December 27, 2024 as the 19th sheriff, and the first Black sheriff, in Dougherty County’s history. In 2024 the county voted over 70% for Kamala Harris while the state went to Trump. In November 2025 the County Commission proposed $207,000 for Albany Civil Rights Institute repairs — the building next door to Mt. Zion (WALB). In April 2025 a Dougherty jury handed down a $70 million verdict against three Albany physicians in the Jessica Powell medical-malpractice case; Phoebe Putney had settled with the plaintiff before trial and was not a defendant at verdict (ProPublica, Part 5). None of that moves a 99th-percentile debt-in-collections reading in a quarter. It is the record trying to re-align with the ground.

What to watch, and what Du Bois still measures

What to watch over the next four quarters: the June 30 Emergency Housing Voucher expiration and whether the homeless-student count rises with it; the proposed sales tax bump from 8% to 9% on the May ballot, which would fall hardest on the households already at the 97th-percentile rent burden; and the credit-card delinquency indicator, the most sensitive of the three 99th-percentile signals and the likeliest to move first. The passage Du Bois set down is still running. It has been running for a hundred and twenty-three years. Simmons, who preaches inside the building where the freedom singers once sang, says it didn’t have to be this way. The scorecard does not contradict him.

Want the numbers?Dougherty County CDI scorecard
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Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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