#1,234 Virginia · 2026

Grayson County, Virginia

56.4 · moderate county distress 1,234th of 3,144 counties nationally · 15,285 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
20% Grayson residents
vs.
16% U.S. median

Above the national median for disability rate — and 6.9× the rate of the healthiest U.S. county (San Juan County, CO — 3%).

U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 39 words · paste-ready

Grayson County, Virginia ranks 1,234th most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 20% of residents report a disability — above the national median of 16%. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

Key Findings
  • 1,234th of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — 56.4 · moderate county distress, 57th in Virginia.
  • 20% of residents report a disability (U.S. median 16%). Disability rate at the 81st percentile nationally. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023).
  • Rent-to-income ratio at 26% — national median 21%, ranked at the 83rd percentile. Source: HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023).
  • Auto loan delinquency at 9% — national median 5%, ranked at the 89th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
  • Debt in collections at 24% — national median 23%, ranked at the 54th percentile. Source: Urban Institute Debt in America (2025).
Distinctive Signals
Boundary Signal

Neighbors span four CDI score labels. The 31-point drop to Ashe County, NC marks a cross-border distress gradient.

County Distress Index cluster map. Grayson County, Virginia and its neighbors colored by county distress score label.
Grayson and its 9 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. Grayson County ranks 1,234th of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire summary — paste-ready, any angle 26 words

Grayson County has a moderate county distress score. The county sits near the middle of the CDI score scale, so the domain mix carries the story.

— American Default Research
Index note — for feature use 34 words

The CDI gives this county a moderate county distress label. The domain mix matters because the same composite score can come from very different local conditions. Its highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer.

— American Default Research

Indicator History

Period-correct raw indicators from the county-history panel. The CDI composite is excluded because it is a current cross-sectional score.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
BLS 1990 to 2025

Unemployment rate

3.7% -5.7 pp since 1990
Census 1989 to 2024

Poverty rate

17.6% +3.0 pp since 1989
BEA 1969 to 2024

Transfer income share

38.5% +25.6 pp since 1969
FRED/Equifax 2014 Q2 to 2025 Q4

Subprime credit population

21.3% -7.1 pp since 2014 Q2

The Indicators Behind Grayson County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. Grayson County's value shown alongside VA's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain; higher values represent a higher mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles. A county's domain rank is computed separately against all counties. Percentile is Grayson County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator Grayson VA median U.S. median Pctile Source
Delinquency — domain score 55 · Rank 1,406 of 3,144
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 9% 6% 5% 89th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 5% 6% 5% 34th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 21% 25% 23% 40th Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Equifax (2025)
Default & Legal — domain score 44 · Rank 1,791 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 24% 22% 23% 54th Urban Institute Debt in America (2025)
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 98 177 126 35th Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts, F-5A (2025)
Debt Burden (housing basis) — domain score 70 · Rank 723 of 3,144
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 26% 22% 21% 83rd HUD FMR (FY2026); U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 19% 19% 18% 57th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Labor — domain score 38 · Rank 1,902 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 3% 4% 4% 38th U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS (May 2026)
Safety Net & Buffer — domain score 75 · Rank 598 of 3,144
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 23% 18% 18% 73rd U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 20% 15% 16% 81st U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 16% 13% 14% 70th U.S. Census Bureau, SAIPE (2023)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 9% 7% 8% 55th U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-year (2023)
Data compiled May 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (2025 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS May 2026, QCEW 2024), Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2026).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is an equal-weight composite of five family-v1 distress domains. Each domain contributes 20% of the county score.

Safety Net & Buffer Primary driver 75
Weight 20% · Rank 598 of 3,144
Debt Burden (housing basis) 70
Weight 20% · Rank 723 of 3,144
Delinquency 55
Weight 20% · Rank 1,406 of 3,144
Default & Legal 44
Weight 20% · Rank 1,791 of 3,144
Labor 38
Weight 20% · Rank 1,902 of 3,144

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. Higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Each domain is the mean of distress-oriented indicator percentiles; the CDI score is the equal-weight mean of those domain scores.

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), FRED/Equifax (subprime credit share), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2022 to 2026 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite Grayson County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 131-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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INDEPENDENCE, Va. — Grayson County ranks 1,234th among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 56.4 out of 100 gives Grayson a moderate county distress label. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,233 counties rank more distressed. Within Virginia, Grayson ranks 57th of 133 counties and independent cities.

The index, which draws on 13 source indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies safety net & buffer as the primary driver in Grayson. 20% of residents report a disability — above the national median of 16%.

American Default Research founder Ross Kilburn is available for interview at press@americandefault.org.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

— 30 —

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Grayson County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

Grayson County scores 56.4 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, with the score label moderate county distress. It ranks 1,234th of 3,144 U.S. counties and 57th of 133 Virginia counties and independent cities. Higher county scores indicate more distress.

What drives Grayson County's distress score?

The highest-scoring domain is Safety Net & Buffer, at a domain score of 75. Disability rate ranks at the 81st percentile nationally.

How does Grayson County compare to its neighbors?

Grayson County's neighbors span 4 CDI score labels. Highest-distress neighbor: Smyth County (65.07, moderate-high county distress). Lowest: Ashe County, NC (34.36, low-moderate county distress).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 13 source indicators across five equal-weighted domains: Delinquency, Default & Legal, Debt Burden, Labor, and Safety Net & Buffer. Data comes from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, HUD, and related public sources. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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