#1,423 Texas · 2026

McMullen County, Texas

Elevated 1,423rd of 3,144 counties nationally · 568 residents How this is calculated →
The headline number
18% McMullen residents
vs.
8% U.S. median

More than double the national median for uninsured rate.

Census ACS 5-yr (2023)

Main Findings

Wire lede · 33 words · paste-ready

McMullen County, Texas ranks 1,423rd most distressed in the United States on the County Distress Index. The driver: 18% of residents lack health insurance — more than double the national median of 8%.

Key Findings
  • 1,423rd of 3,144 counties on the County Distress Index — Elevated zone, 183rd in Texas.
  • 18% of residents lack health insurance (U.S. median 8%). Uninsured rate at the 94th percentile nationally.
  • Bankruptcy filing rate at 176 — national median 126, ranked at the 69th percentile.
  • Unemployment at 6% — national median 4%, ranked at the 80th percentile.
  • House price change (yoy) at 2% — national median 4%, ranked at the 70th percentile.
Distinctive Signals
Labor–Credit Divergence

Unemployment is 6%, near the national median of 4%, while uninsured rate runs at the 94th percentile. Jobs exist; wages don't close the gap.

County Distress Index cluster map. McMullen County, Texas and its neighbors colored by distress zone.
McMullen and its 4 geographic neighbors, graded by County Distress Index score. McMullen County ranks 1,423rd of 3,144. American Default Research
Wire quote — paste-ready, any angle 26 words

"McMullen County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research
Analyst quote — for voice-y features 24 words

"Elevated-zone counties are the largest block in the index. Most Americans live in counties scoring 55–70 — middle-class households doing the math every month."

— Ross Kilburn, Founder, American Default Research

The Indicators Behind McMullen County's CDI Score

Every number traces to a public source. McMullen County's value shown alongside TX's median and the U.S. median. Full CSV available for download.

How to read the table. A domain score is a 0–100 composite of the indicators in that domain, where 50 = U.S. county median and higher = more distressed. Percentile is McMullen County's national rank among all 3,144 U.S. counties for that indicator, always oriented so higher = more distressed.
Indicator McMullen TX median U.S. median Pctile Source
Consumer Credit Distress — domain score 82 · Rank 385 of 3,144
Debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have debt in collections 35% 35% 23% 86th Urban Institute (2024)
Medical debt in collections Share of residents with a credit file who have medical debt in collections 9% 9% 4% 87th Urban Institute (2024)
Auto loan delinquency Share of auto loan accounts 60+ days past due 7% 7% 5% 74th Urban Institute (2024)
Credit card delinquency Share of credit card accounts 60+ days past due 7% 7% 5% 73rd Urban Institute (2024)
Uninsured rate Share of residents without health insurance coverage 18% 17% 8% 94th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Subprime credit share Share of residents with a credit score below 660 34% 32% 23% 86th Urban Institute (2024)
Housing Cost Burden — domain score 10 · Rank 3,088 of 3,144
Rent burden (30%+) Share of renter households paying 30%+ of income on rent 0% 37% 38% 5th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Severe rent burden (50%+) Share of renter households paying 50%+ of income on rent 0% 17% 18% 5th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Owner housing burden Share of owner households paying 30%+ of income on housing 8% 23% 24% 5th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Homeownership rate Share of occupied housing units that are owner-occupied 77% 74% 74% 37th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Structural Poverty — domain score 32 · Rank 2,286 of 3,144
Unemployment Share of labor force unemployed 6% 4% 4% 80th BLS LAUS (Dec 2025)
Poverty rate Share of population below the federal poverty line 12% 15% 14% 41st Census SAIPE (2023)
Household income relative to state Median household income as share of state median 1.18× 1.00× 1.00× 19th Census SAIPE (2023)
Child poverty rate Share of children under 18 below the federal poverty line 19% 22% 18% 54th Census SAIPE (2023)
Disability rate Share of residents reporting a disability 12% 16% 16% 18th Census ACS 5-yr (2023)
Transfer-income dependency Share of personal income from government transfers 16% 26% 27% 8th BEA Regional Personal Income (2023)
Legal Distress — domain score 69 · Rank 985 of 3,144
Bankruptcy filing rate Personal bankruptcy filings per 100,000 residents 176 78 126 69th US Courts F-5A (2025)
Economic Vitality — domain score 20 · Rank 3,028 of 3,144
Wage-to-rent ratio Ratio of average weekly wage to fair-market rent 5.7× 4.1× 4.0× 5th BLS QCEW × HUD FMR (2024)
Rent-to-income ratio Fair Market Rent (2BR) as share of median household income 17% 22% 21% 13th HUD FMR × Census ACS (2024)
Business formation rate New business applications per 1,000 residents 10.6 10.5 10.0 45th Census Business Formation Statistics (2024)
House price change (yoy) House price index year-over-year change 2% 2% 4% 70th FHFA HPI (2024)
Data compiled April 2026 from Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax 2024 panel), U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-yr 2023, SAIPE 2023, Business Formation Statistics 2024), Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS Dec 2025, QCEW 2024), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings 2025), and HUD Fair Market Rents (FY2024).

Five-Domain Breakdown

The CDI is a PCA-weighted composite of five statistically derived factors. Weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance across 3,144 counties.

Consumer Credit Distress Primary driver 82
Weight 47.5% · Rank 385 of 3,144 · Pctile 88
Legal Distress 69
Weight 7.4% · Rank 985 of 3,144 · Pctile 69
Structural Poverty 32
Weight 13.6% · Rank 2,286 of 3,144 · Pctile 27
Economic Vitality 20
Weight 9.2% · Rank 3,028 of 3,144 · Pctile 4
Housing Cost Burden 10
Weight 22.2% · Rank 3,088 of 3,144 · Pctile 2

Methodology

The County Distress Index is a 0–100 composite score of household financial distress, computed for all 3,144 U.S. counties. A score of 50 represents the national county median; higher scores indicate greater distress. The index is built from 21 indicators grouped into five statistically derived factors via principal component analysis (PCA); factor weights are proportional to each factor's share of explained variance (shown in the Five-Domain Breakdown above).

Data sources include the Urban Institute Debt in America (Equifax consumer credit panel), U.S. Census Bureau (American Community Survey 5-year, Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, Business Formation Statistics), Bureau of Labor Statistics (Local Area Unemployment Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), U.S. Courts Administrative Office (F-5A bankruptcy filings), and HUD Fair Market Rents. Data vintages range from 2023 to 2025 depending on source; full indicator-level vintage detail is in the methodology document.

For Press & Research

Everything you need to cite McMullen County data — in under 60 seconds.

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Press contact: Ross Kilburn · press@americandefault.org · (307) 264-2992 · same-day response, 9am–6pm ET
Draft wire copy 149-word AP-style article — use freely with attribution
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TILDEN, Texas — McMullen County ranks 1,423rd among the nation's most financially distressed counties, according to the County Distress Index released this month by American Default Research.

The composite score of 53 out of 100 places McMullen in the "Elevated" zone. Among 3,144 U.S. counties scored, 1,422 counties rank more distressed. Within Texas, McMullen ranks 183rd of 254 counties.

The index, which draws on 21 indicators from the U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Urban Institute and federal court filings, identifies consumer credit distress as the primary driver in McMullen. 18% of residents lack health insurance — more than double the national median of 8%.

"McMullen County is where distress lives in the margins. A county where most households are running out of runway, even as the headline numbers stay quiet," said Ross Kilburn, founder of American Default Research.

Full methodology and county-by-county data are available at americandefault.org/methodology/cdi.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is McMullen County's CDI score, and what does it mean?

McMullen County scores 53 out of 100 on the County Distress Index, placing it in the Elevated zone. It ranks 1,423rd of 3,144 U.S. counties and 183rd of 254 Texas counties. A score of 50 is the national county median; higher = more distressed.

What drives McMullen County's distress score?

The primary driver is Consumer Credit Distress, at a domain score of 82. Uninsured rate ranks at the 94th percentile nationally.

How does McMullen County compare to its neighbors?

McMullen County's neighbors span two CDI zones. Highest-distress neighbor: Duval County (68.58, Serious). Lowest: Live Oak County (60.37, Elevated).

How is the County Distress Index calculated?

The CDI is a 0–100 composite of 21 indicators across five factors, derived via principal component analysis. Factor weights: Consumer Credit Distress 47.5%, Housing Cost Burden 22.3%, Structural Poverty 13.6%, Economic Vitality 9.2%, Legal Distress 7.4%. Data from Urban Institute, Census Bureau, BLS, U.S. Courts, and HUD. Full methodology →
Ross Kilburn
Written by

Ross Kilburn, Founder

Founder · American Default Research · Seattle, Washington

Two decades working directly with financially distressed American households — from property preservation in 2003, to negotiating over 1,000 short sales during the Great Recession, to foreclosure defense marketing today. Author, The Ark Law Group Complete Guide to Short Sales (Auroch Press, 2013). Founded American Default Research in 2026.

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